76th Primetime Emmy Awards Betting Odds and Predictions

One would think that the field would be wide open after Succession, which won three of the last four Emmys in this category, ended in May 2023. The Crown won in 2021 to break up Succession’s reign, but another show is favored this time around.

Emmy nominees for Best Drama Series:

• ‘The Crown’
• ‘Fallout’
• ‘The Gilded Age’
• ‘The Morning Show’
• ‘Mr & Mrs Smith’
• ‘Shogun’
• ‘Slow Horses’
• ‘3 Body Problem’

See the full nominees list: https://t.co/U9eTrmkhVP pic.twitter.com/JENUyXPWBz

— DiscussingFilm (@DiscussingFilm) July 17, 2024

Shogun came along and established itself as a massive favorite at online sportsbooks, as well as with the viewing public. It’s the first Japanese-language series to be nominated for Best Drama, and the fact that it’s in subtitles used to scare viewers off.

The Korean Squid Game showed that viewers could adapt a few years ago. This is a really strong category (The Gilded Age and Mr. & Mrs. Smith were incredible), but Shogun, which was only meant to be a limited series, should take this handily.

There are some big names in this category. Gary Oldman is an Academy Award winner and has been nominated for two Emmy awards now. Donald Glover won the Emmy for Best Actor, Comedy in 2017. Idris Elba, Dominic West, and Walter Goggins are fantastic in their own right.

Let’s wrap up a sweep for Shogun among the top awards, as Anna Sawai brought a tenderness to Lady Mariko, but she also wasn’t afraid to throw hands. In my opinion, Sawai was the best part of Shogun, which is a bold statement considering it was a masterpiece.

Honorable mention goes to Carrie Coon of The Gilded Age, and Maya Erskine of Mr. & Mrs. Smith, but this is Sawai’s to lose.

I would like to step out of line and pick an underdog in these 2024 Emmy odds, but that’s hard in this category. Season 3 of The Bear wasn’t as good as Season 2.

However, because of the timing of this show, Season 2 is what’s leading the way for Best Comedy. The sixth episode, “Fishes”, might have been the best episode of anything all year.

The final season of Curb Your Enthusiasm was brilliant, and Abbott Elementary continues to show that you can do network television right. But I have to stick with The Bear, although its spot won’t be safe next year.

It’s a shame that What We Do in the Shadows will likely get shut out at the Emmys, although Matt Berry and company still have one more shot with the upcoming final season of the show. I would like to give a nod to Taika Waititi, who created What We Do in the Shadows, and also helped with the creation of Reservation Dogs. D’Pharoah Woon-A-Tai was a revelation.

However, Jeremy Allen White might be the biggest lock of the night, and he’ll go back-to-back for leading an incredible Season 2 of The Bear.

Jean Smart is back in the lead for Hacks, which didn’t air in 2023. Quinta Brunson was the recipient of the award, winning for Abbott Elementary.

Smart is great in Hacks, no doubt, and Brunson also deserves another look. However, I’m going for my first underdog and going with Ayo Edebiri, who went to a new level in The Bear. Also, after a slew of chalk picks, we can look for a surprise here.

Hannah Einbinder of Hacks plays a wonderful foil to Smart, and she’s valued at -600 to win. Carol Burnett was tremendous in Palm Royale, and she’s rated at +900 at BetOnline. But I’m taking Meryl Streep at +300 for her terrific turn in Only Murders in the Building.

Also, can you remember the last time you got this much value for Streep at entertainment betting sites? I can’t either.