The Best Super Bowl 58 Prop Bets To Wager On

For many sports bettors, Super Bowl prop bets are the hallmark of the Big Game. Instead of being concerned with the final score, prop betting allows gamblers to wager on the game within the game.

We are analyzing the best Super Bowl 58 prop bets, courtesy of the best NFL betting sites, for the players, teams, and general game props in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Sunday, February 11^th.

What Are The Prop Bets For Super Bowl 58?

In short, a prop bet is a type of wager based on part of the game. Typically, it’s based on a specific action or event that takes place within the game. There’s no greater single-game occurrence of prop bets than the Super Bowl.

Each year, Super Bowl betting sites release thousands of prop bets for the biggest game of the year. The 2024 Super Bowl is no different. In fact, this year’s edition of the NFL’s Championship game could be bigger than ever due to the appearance of Taylor Swift.

For this Super Bowl prop betting guide, we’re focusing only on the following types of prop bets:

• Player Prop Bets: Specific actions or milestones achieved by players on the Chiefs or 49ers.
• Team Prop Bets: Specific actions or events achieved by either team.
• Game Prop Bets: Cumulative actions or events achieved by both teams combined.

We will have separate Super Bowl guides for the weird prop bets and cross-sports props of Super Bowl 58. Additionally, you can check out our expert analysis of the Super Bowl Halftime Show and the Coin Toss.

Bovada is our online sportsbook of choice when it comes to Super Bowl prop bets. In addition to offering the largest selection of props for this game, bettors can also use the Prop Builder Tool to create unique Super Bowl props.

Additionally, Bovada is offering some juicy sports betting bonuses for new users and returning bettors. Get up to $750 in bonuses when joining Bovada today. And, if that weren’t enough to convince you of their greatness, Bovada also has a free Super Bowl betting promotion where you can fill out a prop bet sheet to try and win prizes up to $130,000.

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Super Bowl Player Prop Bets

Let’s dive into our best Super Bowl 58 player prop bets courtesy of Bovada:

Brock Purdy Total Rushing Yards

The Chiefs’ defense can’t sleep on Brock Purdy as a runner. The second-year QB, known as Mr. Irrelevant, has some deceptive speed.

They can ask the Lions, who allowed Purdy to pick up critical first downs with his legs. Purdy rushed for 48 yards on five attempts. In the NFL Divisional Round, he took off against the Packers, too.

The 24-year-old gained 14 yards on six attempts in the 24-21 win over the Packers. His legs were important in both wins. Purdy isn’t going to run around like Lamar Jackson, but he can run to escape from danger.

In the regular season, Purdy didn’t take off as a runner too much. But, in the postseason, he is laying it all out on the field. In the final two regular season games, Purdy had just two rushing attempts. In two playoff games, Purdy has already had 11¹.

Against a dangerous Chiefs’ pass rush, expect Purdy to use his legs early and often.

Deebo Samuel Total Receiving Yards

Deebo Samuel toughed it out and played with a shoulder injury in the NFC Championship. Despite going down a week earlier with an injury that put his status against the Lions in doubt, Samuel collected five receptions for 89 yards.

Overall, in the regular season, Samuel finished with 60 receptions for 892 yards and seven touchdowns. Two of the 49ers’ five losses were without Samuel starting. Also, he went down early against the Browns in October, which was essentially another loss without the dynamic receiver.

With two weeks to rest his shoulder, look for Samuel to make his presence felt in Super Bowl 58. He should have a big performance as the primary target for Samuel in Las Vegas.

Nick Bosa Total Sacks

The 49ers need Nick Bosa to assert himself off the edge. Bosa’s two sacks played a huge role in catapulting the 49ers over the Lions. Will he get home in the backfield to bring down Patrick Mahomes?

The Chiefs are solid as they come in pass protection. That said, Bosa’s motor isn’t going to quit at Allegiant Stadium. The 49ers signed him to a $170-million contract for moments like this in the Super Bowl.

The stud defensive end regressed from 18.5 sacks last season to 10.5 sacks in 2024². However, we are confident that the 49ers will sack Mahomes at least twice, with Bosa responsible for one of them.

Arik Armstead Total Tackles

The Chiefs are not the same air-raid style offense with Mahomes as in the past. They are opting to run the ball more than ever. Second-year running back Isiah Pacheco has developed into a focal point for the Chiefs’ offense.

Despite the 49ers’ Top 5 run defense, the Chiefs will look to run the ball and attempt to outmuscle their opponent. Defensive lineman Arik Armstead will be one of the biggest beneficiaries. He’s an elite run-stopper and will be asked to have a productive game against Pacheco.

The native of Sacramento has notched at least three tackles in five of his last seven starts. We expect Armstead to record three or four tackles on Super Bowl Sunday.

Travis Kelce Total Receiving Yards

Do we truly expect Travis Kelce to go down quietly in the Taylor Swift Bowl? Fading Kelce’s Super Bowl prop bets in 2024 are likely not advised at Allegiant Stadium.

After frustrating the Baltimore Ravens and looking like himself in the AFC Championship, Kelce should be in good shape for Super Bowl 58. Kelce finished with 11 receptions, 116 yards, and a touchdown against the Ravens³.

It was the third straight game in the NFL Playoffs with at least 70 yards receiving for Kelce. Expect an 80 to 90-yard performance from Swift’s boyfriend in Super Bowl 58.

Rashee Rice Total Receiving Yards

We don’t have confidence in the 49ers putting the clamps down on Kelce. But, rookie Rashee Rice might find it difficult to navigate through the 49ers’ defense.

Rice has been a spark plug for the Chiefs’ offense. They have dearly missed speedster Tyreek Hill on the field this season, but Rice has done well at filling the void. He stepped up when the Chiefs needed a playmaker.

That being said, Rice found it difficult to shake free deep in the secondary against the Bills and Ravens. He had a total of 12 receptions and 93 yards receiving combined in the NFL Divisional Round and AFC Conference Championship⁴.

Rice wasn’t as effective against physical defenses and could find it tough versus San Francisco’s secondary. He should stay Under 66.5 yards receiving at Super Bowl betting sites.

Patrick Mahomes Total Rushing Attempts

Similar to Purdy’s Super Bowl 58 prop bet, Mahomes is likely going to use his legs to pick up yardage. And, like Purdy, Mahomes isn’t protecting his body in the postseason. If there is an opening, they are going to take it under pressure.

Last year, Mahomes had nine rushing attempts in the NFL Playoffs, six being in Super Bowl LVII. Four years ago, in Super Bowl LIV, Mahomes had nine rushing attempts for 29 yards in a 31-20 win over the 49ers.

Thus far in the 2024 postseason, Mahomes has scampered for 14 rushing attempts. He left the pocket to run six times against the Bills, and then six more times in the AFC Championship⁵. At 4.5 Mahomes rushing attempts, there is solid value at the best football betting sites.

Super Bowl Team Prop Bets

Currently, Bovada has a wide array of Super Bowl team prop bets on the board. We are locking in our best Super Bowl prop bets for the 49ers and Chiefs below:

Team To Have Longest Field Goal

The 49ers’ field goal-kicking situation is not ironclad entering Super Bowl 58. Michigan product Jake Moody has been shaky for the 49ers, which included a miss against the Lions in the NFC Championship.

The rookie placekicker was automatic from 20 to 39 years in the regular season. He connected on 15 of 16 field goals from that distance, but has not been reliable from further out. Moody was just four for six from 40-49 yards and two for three from 50 or more yards.

Moody is two for four from 40-50+ in the NFL Playoffs. He has connected on 84 percent of his field goals and a long of 57 yards⁶. Conversely, the Chiefs’ Harrison Butker is 94.3 percent and a long of 60 yards.

Including the postseason, Butker is a perfect 100 percent from 50+ yards. Additionally, he is 100 percent from 40-49 yards. The Chiefs and Butker is the best bet for this field goal prop.

Team With Longest Play From Scrimmage

Mahomes finding Marquez Valdes-Scantling or Rice for a big play downfield could happen at Allegiant Stadium. He will look for them on more than one occasion, especially off play-action.

However, the 49ers have so many offensive weapons that could get loose for a big play. Purdy doesn’t necessarily have to hit a deep 50-yard pass, either. Christian McCaffrey or Samuel can run for a while off a simple screen.

If Purdy wants to go deep, however, Brandon Aiyuk is capable of hauling in a big pass. Let’s back the 49ers for the longest play from scrimmage Super Bowl prop bet.

San Francisco 49ers To Score A Safety

When locking in your best Super Bowl prop bets, make sure to throw in one or two longshot wagers. It always makes things a little more exciting and interesting when you have money riding on a bet that can hit big on one play.

For one of these bets, consider looking at the 49ers to get to Mahomes to force a safety. They’ve already done it once this season against an elite QB. Under heavy duress, Lamar Jackson stumbled over an official and went down for a safety on Christmas.

Note that 49ers’ punter Mitch Wishnowsky has done a nice job backing teams up with his leg. Wishnowsky is third in the NFL, with an inside 20 punt percentage of 49.1⁷.

Forcing a safety typically requires a punter to back offenses up and then an aggressive defense. The 49ers have both in Super Bowl 58. We’ll take a chance on the 49ers’ team safety prop bet at +2000 odds.

San Francisco 49ers Total Points

The 49ers need to get timely plays from their offense to beat the Chiefs. It’s unlikely to be a consistent offensive showing every drive. Fortunately, the defense should be able to disrupt the Chiefs’ offense enough to keep them in the game.

The Chiefs’ defense has unsuspectedly frustrated some good offenses this season. Most recently, they held a dynamic Ravens’ offense to just 10 points. This has been a common theme for the Chiefs throughout the season.

Chiefs’ Steve Spagnuolo has done extremely well with this defense. Overall, the Chiefs have yielded an impressive 16.8 points per game⁸. Additionally, the pass rush is second, with 3.2 sacks recorded per game⁹.

The 49ers will string some drives together, but they likely come narrowly shy of 25 points.

Super Bowl Game Prop Bets

Lastly, for our 2024 Super Bowl prop bets, let’s check out our best game prop picks:

Total Penalty Yards

Super Bowl 58 lead official Bill Vinovich and his crew have not been shy about throwing yellow laundry on the field. They rank eighth in the NFL, with an average of 197 flags per game. This equates to an average of 90.06 yards of penalty yardage per contest.

The Chiefs and 49ers aren’t exactly penalty-free teams, either. The Chiefs have committed the 12th-most penalties per game at 5.3 and the 49ers are 17th, with 5.8 flags per game in 2023-24. Keep in mind, that a pass interference call can significantly tack on the penalty yards in one play.

This prop looks too short at 79.5 points. Consider adding the Over to your Super Bowl betting card at sports betting sites.

What Will Be The Longest Score of The Game

As we’ve discussed, Butker has a cannon attached to his leg for kicking field goals. He nailed a 52-yard field goal against the Ravens, and Andy Reid won’t have any qualms about sending him out for a long attempt.

Getting behind the Chiefs’ and 49ers’ defenses should be difficult for both sides. Expect a valiant effort in the secondary in Super Bowl 58. With that in mind, we like a field goal to be the longest score in Las Vegas.

Will Either Team Score Three Unanswered Times?

We are expecting a tightly contested match between the 49ers and the Chiefs. The defenses should prevent this from turning into a runaway blowout.

It’s unlikely that one team can assert their dominance for three or more consecutive scores in Super Bowl 58. We’ll see a few unanswered scores, but not a third at Allegiant Stadium. The value is on “No” at plus money.

Will The Game Be Tied Again After 0-0?

Again, this reiterates our belief that Super Bowl 58 will be a close game in Las Vegas. Following kickoff, we should expect to see the game tied again.

If it doesn’t happen in the first quarter after the opponent matches the opening score, the 49ers and Chiefs should be tied not long after. With only 1.6 points per game separating the 49ers and Chiefs’ defense this season, expect them to be even following the opening kickoff score of 0-0.