As a new season dawns on the UCI World Tour, the 2025 Tour Down Under odds for the first race are on the board! The official start list has been announced, and there are some juicy prices to handicap.
In this article, I break down the latest odds and the favorites, reveal the best longshot bets, and make my Tour Down Under predictions!
Tour Down Under 2025 Winner Odds
The following Tour Down Under winner odds are courtesy of BetUS:
| CYCLIST | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Stephen Williams | +275 |
| Jhonatan Narvaez | +350 |
| Oscar Onley | +550 |
| Lucas Plapp | +550 |
| Finn Fisher-Black | +900 |
| Jay Vine | +900 |
| Mauro Schmid | +1600 |
| Sergio Higuita | +2000 |
| William Junior Lecref | +2500 |
| Andrea Bagiolo | +3300 |
The opening Tour Down Under betting odds afford Welsh cyclist Stephen Williams (+275) a 26.7% implied probability of winning on cycling betting sites. Currently, with +275 odds, Williams has the shortest odds to win the opening event of the UCI World Tour season.
Ecuador’s Jhonatan Narvaez, (+350) Scotland’s Oscar Onley (+550), and Australia’s Lucas Plapp (+550) follow just behind the home-country favorite in the betting markets. Narvaez holds a 22.2% implied chance to win, while Narvaez and Onley are in the mix, with a 15.4% probability.
You can find up-to-date Tour Down Under 2025 odds at BetUS by navigating to Sportsbook > Cycling > Tour Down Under Outrights.
Tour Down Under Route and Key Details
The Tour Down Under doesn’t feature any of the top stars on the UCI World Tour, but the route appears to be a great way to kick off the 2025 campaign for 20 teams and 140 cyclists.
Located in the Adelaide region of Australia, the Tour Down Under route features six stages of racing across 512.4 miles (824.6 kilometers).
ONE WEEK until the 2025 season kicks off at the Santos @tourdownunder 🚴♂️🚴♀️
From 17–26 January, #SouthAustralia will host the world’s best teams and riders, with cycling legends including Mark Cavendish travelling to the race for the 25th edition of the iconic event
🇦🇺 Explore… pic.twitter.com/V4ChBSd06H
— Tour de France™ (@LeTour) January 10, 2025
The race begins on Tuesday, Jan. 21, with a 150.7-kilometer jaunt through Williamstown and passes through Gumeracha twice, including the finish. Stage 1 will benefit riders with superior sprinting, but an average incline of five inches, peaking at 13.3%, tests racers early on.
Stage 2 features a 128.8-kilometer loop around the Barossa region. Both of the sprints for Stage 2 will take place in Greenock, which turned to the community after an impressive display for fans last year. Barossa is mostly flat, but Stage 2 still has an average incline of 6.9% and a max peak of 12.2%.
The race continues on Thursday with a 147.5-kilometer assignment for Stage 3. The opening green jersey points are available in Echunga on Adelaide Road at 39.1 kilometers.
More points are available roughly 80 kilometers later in Uraidla at 112.4 kilometers. Stage 3 features some difficult climbs, including at Norton Summit, Knott’s Hill, and Basket Range. The contenders and pretenders will be separated here.
The longest stage of the event is Stage 4’s 157.2-kilometer journey. The first major climb isn’t until the 86-kilometer mark, but a grueling peak ascent of 16.7% awaits the peloton. The finish has a sweeping left-hand turn onto George Main Road, leading into a 500-meter sprint. Stage 5 is a scenic stage with multiple vineyards, bushland, and the coastline.
Snapper Point will host both sprints in the fifth stage. Additionally, they’ll travel down Willunga Hill and then up twice. The average incline is 6.9%, with a max gradient of 13.3%. Lastly, the Tour Down Under wraps up with a highly technical Stage 6 before reaching the corner of Pennington Terrace and King William Road to the finish line on Sunday, Jan. 26!
Tour Down Under Betting Favorites in 2025
The top riders in the world, including Tadej Pogačar and Jonas Vingegaard, are passing on the Tour Down Under. However, it is shaping up to be a competitive field. The race is likely to be decided between three riders, so let’s break down the details of each favorite on sports betting sites:
Stephen Williams (+275)
Repeating as the Tour Down Under champ will not be easy, but Stephen Williams has a solid chance of doing so. Only one rider has ever won back-to-back events in the Tour Down Under. Williams would be the first cyclist since Daryl Impey to pull off the feat in consecutive years.
He finished third in Stage 2, second in Stage 5, and then finished off the general classification win with a win in Stage 6. That wasn’t the only bright spot for Williams in stage events in 2024. Williams also had an outstanding performance in the Tour of Britain in September. He won Stage 2 and Stage 3 and then capped the event off with a win in Stage 6.
Williams took home the general classification win and finished second in the points classification. I am not opposed to Williams winning back-to-back times at the Tour Down Under. It wasn’t a fluky win and Williams proved his worth with more success later in the campaign.
Jhonatan Narvaez (+350)
It would be irresponsible to overlook Jhonatan Narvaez to win the Tour Down Under. The 27-year-old should have a strong footing alongside teammate Jay Vine in this event. If these two link up and work together, it could be a long race for the rest of the field.
The member of UAE Team Emirates had a productive performance in the Tour Down Under last season. He was competitive with Williams in the six-stage race in Adelaide. Ultimately, Williams finished second and third in the points classification.
However, Narvaez was unable to match that success in other grand touring races for the rest of the season. I give Narvaez credit against a tough field in the Giro d’Italia. He finished ninth in the general classification versus the top guns in cycling. In fact, Narvaez opened the race with a win in Stage 1.
Furthermore, Narvaez was second in Stage 12 before dropping off versus the contenders. In any event, I am not enthused with Narvaez’s form since that race, so he is a pass for me at +350 odds to win the Tour Down Under
Oscar Onley (+550)
A hot contender to win the Tour Down Under who has generous odds is Oscar Onley. Onley is one of the better riders in this field, and at +550, you can’t ignore his strength in Adelaide.
The 22-year-old is a rising star on the UCI World Tour, and his time might arrive in Australia this week. Last year, Onley won Stage 5, and finished fourth in the general classification and second in the youth classification!
Onley used that momentum to catapult him into the rest of the 2024 campaign. He struck for 19th in the general classification in the Itzulia Basque and then followed it up with eighth in the Tour de Suisse.
The Cro Race was another bright spot for Onley. He was the runner-up in the general classification and led the youth classification. Onley finished the campaign in style, with another runner-up position in the Gree-Tour of Guangxi.
Additionally, Onley’s 2024 resume included a decent showing in the Tour de France. He finished in the top 10 in the youth classification and 39th overall. It was a tremendous learning experience for the youngster. I am high on Onley this season, so his Tour Down Under odds are tempting at +550!
Best Top Tour Down Under Sleepers
Before revealing my best bet, let’s dive into the top longshot 2025 Tour Down Under picks! Two cyclists stand out on betting apps as my favorite underdogs:
2025 Tour Down Under Prediction and Betting Pick
The season opener is expected to be a competitive field in Adelaide! Cycling fans will miss the top-rated grand touring riders on the World Tour, but it should make for fantastic racing.
Based on last year’s form and offseason work, I am high on Onley emerging as a star in the Tour Down Under. The 22-year-old had some big wins and showed plenty of improvement from the previous year. He has a lot more to give and the ceiling hasn’t been reached yet, so Onley is a huge threat to show greater improvement in form.
This is a wide-open event — taking the favorite doesn’t yield the best betting value at +275 on Williams to win back-to-back races. Instead, Onley is a fantastic bet to win at +550!
Where to Bet on the Tour Down Under?
Not every online betting site is offering Tour Down Under odds this year. With that in mind, it’s important to select one of our offshore sportsbooks that has this market available. As our top recommendation for Tour Down Under betting, BetUS has everything you need to place your wagers.
BetUS offers a variety of Tour Down Under 2025 winner betting odds to dive into today. Place your bets on a safe and reliable platform with decades of experience in cycling betting. New customers can get started at BetUS by collecting one of two terrific sign-up bonuses.
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