Trump Inauguration Props: Odds, Analysis, and Betting Predictions

Who Will Attend Trump’s Inauguration – Odds and Predictions

The peaceful transfer of power is one of America’s most powerful traditions. It sets the United States apart from so many countries that some foreign leaders are invited to attend.

Trump has already invited Argentine President, Javier Milei. One of the people he’s reportedly considered inviting is Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Zelensky said he’d be open to attending Trump’s inauguration if invited. However, Ukraine is still at war with Russia, so while Zelensky’s appearance is possible, it’s still an underdog wager.

Still, out of the wagers that could generate a meaningful return, Zelensky is a solid bet grounded in political reality. The Ukrainian president will be hoping to get support from Trump, so +175 for him to show up makes a lot of sense.

Will Trump Curse in His Inauguration Speech?

Bovada’s line on whether Trump will curse during his inauguration speech only counts certain swear words. They include George Carlin’s seven dirty words, plus bitch, bastard, and asshole.

“Son of a bitch” has a chance of making it into Trump’s inaugural speech. At a March 2018 rally, Trump called reporter Chuck Todd a “sleeping son of a bitch.” Trump also called Joe Biden a “dumb son of a bitch” at a July 2023 rally.

Trump’s spontaneity could lead him to call someone a “son of a bitch” or drop another swear that would satisfy Bovada’s wager requirements. It’s a long shot, but the odds of +1500 are worth a small wager.

Number of Crowd Size Mentions Odds and Prediction

Trump’s first inaugural speech didn’t mention crowd size. Instead, the low turnout compared to President Obama’s inaugural crowd sizes spawned Trump’s obsession with having larger crowds at rallies and events than his political rivals.

President Trump is disputing how many people attended his inauguration. We had experts assess the crowd size. https://t.co/B5olahGgQc pic.twitter.com/5fFWJHJ3Jd

— NYT Graphics (@nytgraphics) January 22, 2017

As late as the 2024 campaign, Trump defended his crowd sizes. In North Carolina, AP News reported Trump’s false claims that he’s had “the biggest rallies in history” and that the venue had “no empty seats.”

After eight years of bringing up crowd size, there’s a decent chance for Trump to revive that theme in his second inaugural speech. Since it’ll likely come from an off-the-cuff remark, betting on one to two mentions is the best strategy.

Inauguration Speech Number of Words Odds and Prediction

Trump’s first inaugural speech was 1,433 words. As a first term president who surprised even himself by winning, he kept his formal remarks shorter than the free-wheeling rallies he was more comfortable with.

Trump's inaugural address is expected to be less than 20 minutes, anchored in Jacksonian approach, per two ppl familiar with it.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) January 17, 2017

As he’s professionalized his campaign the second time around, Trump may have a slightly longer inaugural address than his first one. Flowing language takes up more space than the clipped remarks of Trump’s first inaugural address.

The best Trump bet here is to wager on an inaugural speech that’s only a little longer than his first.

Will the Price of Bitcoin be Higher or Lower on Trump’s Inauguration than the Day Before?

Trump is expected to make great strides for the crypto industry. His pick for Secretary of Treasury has called crypto “integral to economic freedom and innovation.” Both his incoming Secretary of Commerce and SEC Chair share pro-crypto views, too.

Crucially, Elon Musk is in favor of crypto, prediction markets, and other technological solutions to the faults he sees in traditional institutions. About three weeks before the 2024 election, Musk posted a screenshot of Polymarket’s presidential market, writing that betting markets are “more accurate than polls.”

Trump now leading Kamala by 3% in betting markets. More accurate than polls, as actual money is on the line. https://t.co/WrsqZ2z8pp

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 7, 2024

With so many pro-crypto figures in Trump’s Cabinet and orbit, his inauguration could mark a new high for the most valuable cryptocurrency.

What Trump Will Say During Inauguration Speech Odds and Prediction

Trump’s inaugural address will be his first address as the 47^th president of the United States. That speech will build on themes he raised during his campaign and make his legislative priorities clear.

Given the expectations of the crypto industry, it’s reasonable to predict that Trump will make a passing mention of cryptocurrencies or Bitcoin. Silicon Valley tech figures who support Trump want to clarify whether the SEC or CFTC should regulate crypto products and create a regulatory framework favorable to entrepreneurship.

🇺🇸 JUST IN: The Trump administration is eyeing the CFTC to oversee digital asset regulation, per FOX. pic.twitter.com/9Ha5SBSq8o

— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) November 26, 2024

The challenge crypto products present to traditional institutions also appeal to the MAGA movement. Prediction markets are common crypto products, and they became serious data points during the final weeks of the 2024 presidential election. The anti-establishment quality of crypto could lead Trump to mention it in his inaugural speech, and the odds make a lot of sense.