2024-25 UEFA Champions League Odds and Predictions: Who Will Stop Liverpool?

2024-25 UEFA Champions League Odds and Predictions: Who Will Stop Liverpool?

The UEFA Champions League winner odds ahead of the 2024-25 season highlighted two major favorites: Manchester City and Real Madrid. The two clubs have won the last three editions of the tournament, but they’re stuck in a head-to-head playoff to make it to the round of 16! Meanwhile, top-seeded Liverpool are the odds-on favorites after the group stage ended.

You never know in a knockout competition like the UCL, though. I’m here to examine the top teams’ odds of winning the Champions League and the most likely challengers. If you read until the end, you will find my prediction and recommended bet for the Champions League winner odds!

2024-25 UEFA Champions League Winner Betting Odds

TEAMUCL CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ODDS
Liverpool+450
Real Madrid +600
Arsenal+600
Barcelona+600
Manchester City+800
Bayern Munich+900
Paris Saint-Germain+1400
Inter Milan+1400
Atlético Madrid+1600
Bayer Leverkusen+2000
Aston Villa+3300
Atalanta+4000

Liverpool (+450) lost their final league-phase game at PSV Eindhoven, but they still topped the table with 21 points and are now the Champions League winner favorites! The English Premier League leaders have an 18.2% implied win probability to win their seventh Champions League (formerly the European Cup) title. They most recently won the UEFA Champions League in 2019.

Then there is a big group on their heels, featuring Real Madrid (+600), Arsenal (+600), Barcelona (+600), Manchester City (+800), and Bayern Munich (+900). England and Spain have been very well represented in the Champions League over the last 15 years.

Outside of a pair of Bayern wins in 2013 and 2020, English and Spanish teams have combined to win every UCL title since Italy’s Inter Milan (+1400) won in 2010. These teams have an implied probability range of 10% to 14.3% to win European soccer’s biggest prize!

These UCL odds for 2024-25 are courtesy of BetUS, and you can find prices for even more teams at their sportsbook by navigating to Sportsbook > Soccer > UEFA Champions League Outrights > To Win UEFA Champions League 2024-25 > Display Selected.

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New UEFA Champions League Format Explained

Before I start analyzing the contenders in these UCL odds for 2024-25, let’s take a look at the new Champions League format.

  • There is no group stage anymore. Instead, all 36 teams were placed into four pots, and each team will play eight total games, four home, and four away.
  • For example, Real Madrid were seeded #1 as the defending champions, and they’ll be at home against Stuttgart, Borussia Dortmund, AC Milan, and Red Bull Salzburg. They’ll also travel to Lille, Liverpool, Atalanta, and Brest.
  • The top eight teams in the standings move on to the round of 16. Teams 9-24 will advance to the knockout playoffs, with 9-16 seeded, and 17-24 unseeded. Teams 25-36 are eliminated. They won’t be able to move to the Europe League, as they were before.
  • Based on seeding, teams 9-16 will play 17-24 over two legs, home and away, for the last eight spots in the round of 16.
  • Then, it’s back to business as usual from the round of 16 on. Teams will play two-legged ties, home and away, all the way to the single-game final, which will be held in Munich on May 31, 2025.

Favorites for the 2024-25 Champions League

Let’s take a look at the favorites, according to the updated 2024-25 UCL winner odds.

Liverpool (+450)

The Reds romped through the league phase, and got a chance to rest most of their starters in their finale. The Mo Salah next club odds aren’t bothering the Egyptian winger, as he is one of three Liverpool players with three goals in seven UCL games, along with Luis Diaz and Cody Gakpo.

Liverpool also gets to skip the playoff and play one of the lowest seeds, which gives them a bit more rest. They won’t play until March 4 or 5, which is good because Liverpool plays seven games in February, including a trip in the EPL to Manchester City.

While Salah is the best player on the team, Liverpool can beat you in many ways, with a strong midfield and a miserly defense. They have a cushion atop the EPL as well, so they can rotate players to keep them fresh. Arne Slot has done a masterful job in his first season at Anfield, and Liverpool are deserved favorites in these 2025 Champions League odds!

Real Madrid (+600)/Manchester City (+800)

I’ve grouped these two powerhouses together as they’ll face off in the marquee playoff matchup on February 11/12, and 18/19! They’ve combined to win the last three Champions Leagues, with Real Madrid winning in 2022 and 2024, and Manchester City won it in 2023.

They also have a history against each other, as Real eliminated City 6-5 in extra time over two legs in the 2022 semifinals, before going on to beat Liverpool in the final. City returned the favor with a 5-1 romp in 2023. In 2024, Real edged City on penalties in what was probably the best pair of games in the entire tournament. All three times, the winner has gone on to win it all!

There will be no shortage of star power for this two-legged tie. On the Real side, you have Kylian Mbappé, Vinícius Júnior, and Jude Bellingham, among others. For City, you have Erling Haaland, Kevin De Bruyne, Phil Foden, and again, many others.

There is also the beef between the two, centering Rodri’s Ballon d’Or win over Vini Jr (although Rodri is still out with a knee injury). There are a ton of storylines for this matchup, and only one team will go on to the next round!

Both teams have been inconsistent, but Manchester City look completely broken this year. They’ve lost a ton of games, allowing way too many opportunities to the opposition and struggling in pretty much every area of the pitch.

Real Madrid are the favorite going into the clash, but I wouldn’t bet on either team as it stands. The odds are too short, and there are much better options out there.

Arsenal (+600)

The Gunners quietly finished third in the league phase, losing just one game, along with six wins and a draw. They’ve maintained their form, but they’re still missing star winger Bukayo Saka, who has been out since December 18 after needing surgery for a hamstring tear. Saka has scored four goals in Arsenal’s first five UCL games.

Manager Mikel Arteta said Saka won’t be back before March, which is when Arsenal will take on their next Champions League opponents. However, Saka will be eased back into the lineup after such a serious injury. The attacking onus is on midfielder Martin Odegaard and forward Kai Havertz, although Arsenal didn’t buy a striker during the January transfer window.

Still, Arsenal has a solid midfield and a great defense, so they’re a threat. Going out of the FA Cup and finishing in the top 8 of the UCL group stage could do wonders for the team.

The schedule in February won’t be that intensive, so the Gunners could finally get a breather and Saka could be back for the Last 16. This makes Arsenal a very dangerous team, but the lack of a proper finisher up front is likely to cost them at some point.

Barcelona (+600)

Barcelona finished second to Liverpool in the league phase, and their +15 goal difference was the best of all teams! The ageless Robert Lewandowski is tied for the UCL lead in goals with nine in eight games, while winger Raphinha has eight goals.

But the story for Barça is Lamine Yamal, the 17-year-old winger who is their most dangerous player! He had just two goals and two assists in seven UCL games, but Yamal is a threat to make a play every single time he is on the ball. Barça are also getting healthier in midfield and at the back. However, I’m still not completely convinced of their defense.

Barça hasn’t won the Champions League since 2015, but this side could absolutely go all the way if they can stay off the injured list! Still, the odds are slightly short if you consider their defensive woes.

Champions League Dark Horses This Year

Here are my top two sleepers in the odds for winning the Champions League.

Bayern Munich (+900)

The German giants are always a threat to win the Champions League, including in 2025! However, they will have to participate in the playoff after finishing 12th in the league phase. Bayern will take on Scotland’s Celtic in their playoff tie.

Striker Harry Kane is doing his part with six goals in seven games, while former Crystal Palace forward Michael Olise has four goals. Bayern has also looked better in the back as Kim Min-Jae and Dayot Upamecano have finally started to click.

Bayern should make it through the playoffs easily enough, although the trip to Celtic Park is always tough for any visiting team. The question here is whether the Germans can compete with the top Spanish and English sides.

Inter Milan (+1400)

The Italian champions definitely offer good betting value. After a sluggish start to their Serie A title defense, Inter Milan have raised their level as of late. They finished fourth in the league phase, where striker Lautauro Martinez had five goals to lead Inter.

Marcus Thuram has emerged as Martinez’s strike partner, while Hakan Çalhanoğlu pulls the strings in midfield. Their defense can be a little shaky, though, which is my concern with Inter against good sides. But at +1400, their 2025 UCL odds are worth a look!

2024-25 Champions League Odds Winner Prediction and Betting Pick

It sounds easy to stick with the chalk with my 2025 Champions League prediction, but that’s where I’m leaning! Liverpool have star power, along with excellent role players, and they’re solid from front to back.

Real Madrid and Manchester City are going to take each other out, and both have major questions at the back. I don’t know if Arsenal can score enough goals, and Barcelona’s defense can be shaky. Bayern Munich are worth a look, but their midfield is a concern.

If they stay healthy, I believe the Reds have all the tools to win the Champions League! However, if there are any major injuries, watch this space for updated 2025 UCL odds. For now, though, the Reds are the team to beat in this competition

The Bet
LIVERPOOL

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About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Finn is an experienced writer (having published articles under the name Phil Bowman) and longtime sports enthusiast based in Europe. His particular passion lies in soccer, as both a die-hard fan and seasoned bettor. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! He’s learned from his share of bad bets over the years and is keen to impart his wisdom so you don’t make the same mistakes. Since joining TSG, Finn has also gained valuable knowledge in the world of online casinos.

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