UFC 313 Odds and Prediction – Can Pereira Hold Off Ankalev?

UFC 313 Odds and Prediction – Can Pereira Hold Off Ankalev?

The UFC 313 odds show several close fights for the card, which will be held on March 8, 2025, in Las Vegas. The main event features light-heavyweight champion Alex Pereira taking on one of his toughest opponents yet, Magomed Ankalev.

Can Pereira continue to hold on to the belt? I share my UFC 313 prediction for this fight and the entire card, analyzing three of the fights in more depth!

UFC 313 Predictions Summary

FIGHTBETTING FAVORITEPREDICTION
Alex Pereira vs. Magomed AnkalevAlex Pereira (-117)Alex Pereira (-117)
Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael FizievRafael Fiziev (-155)Justin Gaethje (+133)
Jalin Turner vs. Ignacio BahamondesIgnacio Bahamonde (-125)Ignacio Bahamondes (-125)
Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin LucindoIasmin Lucindo (-135)Iasmin Lucindo (-135)
King Green vs. Mauricio RuffyMauricio Ruffy (-460)Mauricio Ruffy (-460)
Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan KunievCurtis Blaydes (-340)Curtis Blaydes (-340)
Joshua Van vs. Rei TsuruyaJoshua Van (-175)Rei Tsuruya (+150)
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen PetrosyanArmen Petrosyan (-135)Armen Petrosyan (-135)
Alex Morono vs. Carlos LealCarlos Leal (-900)Carlos Leal (-900)
Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallMairon Santos (-320)Mairon Santos (-320)
Djorden Ribiero dos Santos vs. Osman DiazDjorden Santos (-195)Djorden Santos (-195)
Chris Gutierrez vs. John CastanedaChris Gutierrez (-125)Chris Gutierrez (-125)

The UFC 313 card is anchored by light-heavyweight champion Alex Pereira, who has teased moving back down to middleweight to reclaim his title, and up to heavyweight to challenge champ Jon Jones.

However, he can’t overlook 205-pound challenger Magomed Ankalev, who hasn’t lost a fight since his UFC debut in March 2018. The UFC 313 odds at offshore sportsbooks are forecasting a tough fight for the champion.

The co-main event was supposed to be Justin Gaethje and Dan Hooker squaring off in a high-powered lightweight battle. But Hooker had to back out due to a hand injury, so Rafael Fiziev steps in for a rematch after Gaethje beat him by majority decision in March 2023.

You can find all of these UFC 313 odds at Bovada by heading to Sports > UFC/MMA > UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalev.

Alex Pereira vs. Magomed Ankalev Odds, Prediction, and Betting Pick

  • Alex Pereira (-117)
  • Magomed Ankalev (-103)

Outside of a loss to Israel Adesanya in their middleweight title rematch in April 2023, Pereira (12-2) has been unstoppable inside the Octagon! He is arguably the most exciting fighter in the UFC right now as you know Pereira’s kickboxing style will yield fireworks. “Poatan” absolutely pummeled Khalil Rountree Jr. in October 2024.

But Ankalev (19-1-1, 1 NC) might be his toughest opponent yet. He is also a very skilled striker, and he leans less on his grappling than other Dagestani fighters, such as Khabib Nurmagomedov and current UFC lightweight champion Islam Makhachev. However, Ankalev can wrestle and tire out Pereira in the clinch.

It’s tough to bet against Pereira, so I’m not going to do it, although Ankalev is a really dangerous underdog. Considering he was at +105 on February 27, and moved to +102 the next day at online sportsbooks, UFC 313 odds might be thinking the same thing about Ankalev. He is now at -103 the day before the fight!

But Pereira has shown the ability to take punishment and come back, outside of the one Adesanya loss. I’ll back the champion to keep the momentum rolling.

The Bet
PEREIRA

Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev Odds, Prediction, and Betting Pick

  • Justin Gaethje (+133)
  • Rafael Fiziev (-155)

The UFC 313 odds for this fight come from Bovada after it was announced Fiziev (12-3) would replace the injured Hooker for a rematch against Gaethje.

Gaethje (25-5) returns to action after his stunning loss of the BMF title to Max Holloway in April 2024. He was knocked out with one second left in the fight while swinging for the fences.

“The Highlight” will likely be more patient in this one, but it’ll be interesting to see if Fiziev starts to press. He’s been out of action since a knee injury in a loss to Mateusz Gamrot in September 2023. Gaethje is a tough competitor to return to the Octagon to.

Gaethje won the first fight by majority decision as one judge scored it as a draw. Fiziev got out to a fast start, but Gaethje made some adjustments.

Interestingly, he ended the final round with the first takedown of his career. It was a close match, but I’m taking Gaethje to use his guile and avoid the kicks that hurt him in the first fight. His opponent has been out for a while and took the bout on a short notice, so Gaethje should have the upper hand, despite being the underdog.

At +133, let’s take Gaethje’s UFC 313 odds at UFC betting sites.

The Bet
GAETHJE

Jalin Turner vs. Ignacio Bahamondes Odds, Prediction, and Betting Pick

  • Jalin Turner (+105)
  • Ignacio Bahamondes (-125)

I’m back to Bovada for the UFC 313 odds on this lightweight tussle, and there wasn’t much between Turner (14-8) and Bahamondes (16-5), according to the early lines. They were both at -110 on February 28, but Bahamondes has edged into the lead as the favorite at -125 the day before UFC 313.

Bahamondes has won his last two fights by TKO and KO, while Turner has lost three of his last four, although two of those were close split decisions. This bout was spoken into existence by MMA reporter Aaron Bronsteter three years ago.

This is a massive fight for both because Turner could be in danger of losing his UFC contract with another loss. Meanwhile, Bahamondes will likely break into the 155-pound rankings with a victory. Turner, known as “The Tarantula”, has a ton of knockout power and is athletic, but he can’t seem to put it all together against high-level opposition.

Unfortunately for him, Bahamondes might be a better striker, as he combines technique with KO power. It feels like Turner is on the way down, while his opponent is going in the opposite direction. I’m taking “La Jaula” to pick Turner off and move into the top 15 of the UFC rankings.

The Bet
BAHAMONDES

Amanda Lemos vs. Iasmin Lucindo Odds, Prediction, and Betting Pick

  • Amanda Lemos (+115)
  • Iasmin Lucindo (-135)

I’ll finish it off at Bovada with this intriguing women’s strawweight bout. Lemos (14-4) had her shot at champion Zhang Weili, losing to the champ by unanimous decision in August 2023. Lucindo (17-5) has won four in a row, and a win would put her in the title-fight conversation.

Lucindo is going to try to take this fight to the mat, although she has shown the ability to strike in wins against Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Marina Rodriguez. Lemos will want to keep this fight standing up, but Lucindo has plenty of energy at 23 years old. Lemos is 37, and may be on the decline.

I think Lucindo has more avenues to a victory here, and the UFC would love to push her up the rankings. I’m taking Iasmin Lucindo at -135 for these UFC 313 odds!

The Bet
LUCINDO

Where to Bet on UFC 313 Odds?

I’ll summarize my UFC 313 predictions here:

  • Alex Pereira (-117)
  • Justin Gaethje (+133)
  • Ignacio Bahamondes (-125)
  • Iasmin Lucindo (-135)

You can bet on these, or your own, UFC 313 predictions at Bovada! At this fantastic UFC betting site, Bovada will give you an online sportsbook bonus of 100% matched up to $1,000. Just use the promo code, BV1000, and you’ll be ready to start wagering on all things UFC!


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About the Author
Finn Archer profile picture
Finn Archer
Finn is a writer with _ years of experience publishing articles under the pseudonym Phil Bowman. He’s also a longtime sports enthusiast and bettor with a strong passion for soccer. That said, he’ll dabble in anything involving a ball, bat, or boxing gloves! His writing mainly focuses on helping bettors learn from their mistakes and gamble responsibly. Finn currently lives in Europe.
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