The opening 2024 WNBA MVP odds have been released by the top online sportsbooks, so let’s talk about them. With the season quickly approaching, now is the best time to assemble your WNBA betting strategy!
Women’s sports continue to grow in popularity, and the 2024 WNBA campaign is being met with plenty of fanfare. Caitlin Clark’s rookie year is the most highly awaited season for a WNBA player ever.
Will Clark make history and join Candace Parker as the only WNBA rookie to win MVP? Are Breanna Stewart and A’ja Wilson still the main attractions? I check the latest odds and analyze the top contenders before sharing my WNBA 2024 MVP predictions!
WNBA 2024 MVP Betting Odds
The following WNBA MVP odds are courtesy of Bovada:
| PLAYER | ODDS |
|---|---|
| A’ja Wilson | +180 |
| Breanna Stewart | +400 |
| Alyssa Thomas | +1000 |
| Caitlin Clark | +1200 |
| Jewell Loyd | +2000 |
| Satou Sabally | +3000 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | +3000 |
| Brittney Griner | +3000 |
Las Vegas Aces’ forward A’ja Wilson (+180) has the shortest odds to win the WNBA’s Most Valuable Player award in 2024. As a +180 favorite, the oddsmakers give her an implied probability to win MVP of 35.7%.
The odds suggest a two-player race between Wilson and defending MVP, Breanna Stewart. New York’s star has an implied probability of 20% of being crowned the 2024 WNBA MVP. Alyssa Thomas is a distant +1000 with the third-shortest price to win.
Let’s check out the top contenders and break down the favorites to win this season.
A’ja Wilson (+180) – Can She Get Back Her Crown?
- Age: 27
- Year: 7th
- Team: Las Vegas Aces
- Position: Forward/Center
The 2018 WNBA Draft No. 1 pick of the enters her seventh season in the league. She is seeking her third MVP award and second in three years.
The do-it-all forward won in 2020 and 2022 behind star-studded seasons. However, Wilson’s most productive season wasn’t either of those years. It actually came when she didn’t win the MVP in 2023.
.@GamecockWBB legend A'ja Wilson on the spotlight that's on her this season with the @LVAces and the WNBA as a whole with the incoming new faces:
"It's the spotlight that I've been feeling my whole career, honestly. It's just a matter of just more eyes."@wachfox pic.twitter.com/i4HYQ4OKeW
— Matt Dowell (@MattDowellTV) May 3, 2024
Wilson posted career bests in several key metrics. She recorded 22.8 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 2.22 blocks per contest. Additionally, the Aces star filled the hoop with a 55.7% field goal percentage.
Despite finishing third in MVP voting, all these were a career-high for Wilson. She and the Aces had the last laugh by winning their second consecutive WNBA Championship!
Led by Wilson, the Aces return the same dominant core from their championship team. She is flanked by talented guards Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young in an offense that is loaded with chemistry.
On the heels of a career-high season and not getting the MVP, I expect Wilson to be doubly motivated to get back her trophy.
Breanna Stewart (+400) – Will “Stewie” Claim Back-to-Back MVPs?
- Age: 29
- Season: 9th
- Team: New York Liberty
- Position: Forward
Stewart is the reigning MVP in the WNBA, but her WNBA MVP 2024 odds put her behind Wilson. It was Stewart’s second WNBA MVP title after winning in 2018, as well.
In her first season with the Liberty, she led her new team to the second-best record in the WNBA. They finished 32-8 with a point differential of +8.6, as the Liberty reached the WNBA Finals.
The Liberty went 16-20 a season earlier without Stewart. Her arrival morphed the franchise into a championship contender.
Breanna Stewart received her MVP award before Game 2 vs. the Sun 🏆 pic.twitter.com/LDHAMRSryw
— ESPN (@espn) September 27, 2023
The Aces’ depth was too much to contain in the title series, though they wouldn’t have been there if Stewart hadn’t signed in New York. Like Wilson, she boasted a career-high in points last season!
The eventual MVP notched 23 points, 9.3 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.6 blocks per game. While “Stewie” has put up impressive numbers, perhaps her best ability is to make the rest of her teammates better players.
She’s a terrific facilitator and does a lot of the little things that make for a complete player. Nevertheless, winning back-to-back WNBA MVPs is no simple chore.
The Houston Comets’ Cynthia Cooper is the only player to win consecutive MVP awards. That occurred in the inaugural season and the second season of the WNBA in 1997 and 1998. There wasn’t nearly as much competition back then.
Alyssa Thomas (+1000) – Is It Finally Thomas’ Time?
- Age: 32
- Year: 11th
- Team: Connecticut Sun
- Position: Forward
Alyssa Thomas did just about everything she could to win the 2023 WNBA MVP. She took a team that wasn’t expected to be at their best to 27-13 and third in the standings.
Last season can be chalked up as a win for the Sun. However, there was certainly one thing missing: MVP for No. 25, who received the most first-place MVP votes with 23 last season!
Alyssa Thomas is dominating during her record-breaking season in the WNBA 🤯
Should she be the 2023 MVP? pic.twitter.com/bkmPdrNPxj
— ESPN (@espn) September 10, 2023
Thomas grabbed three more votes than Stewart and six more than Wilson. However, she finished with 439 points to Stewart’s 446 points. The difference was 23 second-place votes for Stewart and just 12 for Thomas1.
The Connecticut star certainly has the stats to back up an MVP campaign after averaging 15.5 points, 9.9 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game last season. She was also efficient from the field, with a 47.4% field goal percentage.
Given her production and impact on the Sun, you could make a case that Thomas was snubbed for MVP. All three of the favorites for the 2024 WNBA MVP would have been well-deserving winners of the award last season.
With Wilson and Stewart having two MVPs to their name, is it finally time for Thomas? At +1000, there is a serious case to make for her as your WNBA 2024 MVP betting pick.
Best WNBA 2024 MVP Sleepers
There are a couple of sleepers at the top WNBA betting sites who are worth considering for the MVP in 2024. Some people will look at Caitlin Clark, but she has the fourth-shortest WNBA MVP odds. I don’t necessarily like her price at +1200, but that’s to be expected for one of the most popular players in women’s basketball ever.
I want more value, but we have Caitlin Clark prop bets for her rookie season that are way more interesting. I prefer the following two sleepers for MVP this year:
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The Seattle guard should receive more attention for MVP. Last season, Loyd led the WNBA in scoring with 24.7 points per game, with a respectable 4.7 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game2.
The 2015 WNBA Draft No. 1 overall pick is coming off by far her best season after Stewart departed for New York. In her second season as the go-to player, expect Loyd to continue to grow into her role. After breaking career bests in 2023, she could outdo herself this year!
-
Following a record-breaking collegiate career at Baylor, Brittney Griner’s professional career has been filled with ups and downs. She returned to her WNBA career after serving roughly 10 months in a Russian prison.
Brittney Griner was emotional recounting her detainment in Russia. pic.twitter.com/3xXE2SozmI
— ESPN (@espn) May 2, 2024
The Phoenix Mercury star averaged 17.5 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.2 assists per game. She also shot 56% from the field. Not bad after spending almost a year in her circumstances!
If the nine-time WNBA All-Star can get back to her 2021 form, with over 20 points and nearly 10 rebounds per game, she’ll likely be considered for MVP.
WNBA 2024 MVP Predictions and Betting Pick
Voters will likely hone in on Wilson, Stewart, and Thomas again this season. Clark is an interesting prospect in her first campaign, but she is a year or two away from coming close to her full potential in the WNBA.
She will most likely win the award at some point, but there are too many good players currently in their prime. I am also reluctant to go back to Stewart this season since winning back-to-back MVPs in the WNBA is very hard.
As far as Wilson is concerned, she has the best odds to win the WNBA MVP this season. I can’t argue against her having MVP numbers again. However, in a close race with Thomas, voters will likely side with the Sun!
There are many people in the WNBA who believe she was slighted by not winning MVP for the 2023 season. I see voters opting to give her the nod if she can follow up with another strong campaign.
Thomas has loads of value on most betting apps and sites at +1000, so consider her as your top pick for the WNBA 2024 MVP.
Where To Bet On The WNBA MVP?
Bovada is The Sports Geek’s top pick for wagering on the WNBA MVP in 2024. The site has an extensive selection with WNBA MVP odds available on dozens of players!
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Sources:
2023 WNBA MVP voting results | NBA Communications. Retrieved From “https://pr.nba.com/breanna-stewart-2023-wnba-most-valuable-player/2023-wnba-mvp-voting-results/”
WNBA Stats | WNBA.com. Retrieved From “https://stats.wnba.com/players/traditional/?sort=PTS&dir=-1&Season=2023&SeasonType=Regular%20Season”
