Alavés @ Sevilla - April 20, 2025

As we gear up for Sunday’s La Liga clash between Sevilla FC and Alaves, it’s essential to peel back the layers of both teams’ recent performances and trends to gauge what we might expect from this matchup. Sevilla enters this match sitting at a disappointing 15th in the La Liga table, while Alaves occupies 17th place, neither team exactly setting the league on fire.

Sevilla’s record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses paints a picture of an inconsistent season. Their last performance saw them succumb to a defeat against Valencia CF, marking a lack of goal-scoring prowess that has characterized much of their recent play. Notably, the match resulted in just 1 goal, reflecting a trend towards lower-scoring encounters for the team. For totals bettors, this points to a striking UNDER that may become a recurring theme, particularly as Sevilla has struggled to find the back of the net consistently.

Alaves, on the other hand, brings a record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses to the table. They, too, faced defeat recently, falling to Real Madrid, with the match resulting in only 1 goal — yet another UNDER for bettors. Their performances have been equally underwhelming, and with their place in the relegation battle looming, motivation will be critical. However, with both teams recently witnessing low-scoring matches, it’s hard to envision a thriller on Sunday.

When evaluating the draw odds, which opened at 2.17, there’s a concrete argument to be made that a stalemate might just be the outcome. Given both teams’ recent struggles, particularly in front of goal, a draw seems not only plausible, but quite likely. Both teams will likely prioritize safety and discipline in their formations, leading to fewer chances and shots on target.

The statistics tell us that averaging projections for both teams trending towards the 1-goal mark is troubling. For Sevilla, having only netted an average of just above 1 goal per game in their recent fixtures is alarming; for Alaves, the stats are similar, suggesting a mutual lack of killer instinct in the attacking third.

The table standings further amplify this narrative. With only 2 points separating these two teams, the impetus for each side to avoid defeat is palpable. Every point counts at this stage of the season, especially with relegation fears looming for Alaves.

In conclusion, fans can anticipate a potentially cagey encounter marked by tight defensive structures and limited offensive flair. The draw at 2.17 feels like a prudent bet given the context and statistical evidence suggesting scoring will be minimal. Sevilla and Alaves are both seeking to solidify their positions in La Liga, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see them playing conservatively, ultimately leading to a battle of attrition rather than an elegant display of attacking football. Expect a finish that hovers around 1-1, keeping both teams firmly grappling with their respective challenges.