Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers - March 4, 2025

As the Edmonton Oilers prepare to face off against the Anaheim Ducks at Rogers Place, it’s clear that this matchup is rife with statistical intrigue and potential betting opportunities. Oddsmakers have opened the Oilers as substantial -345 favorites, reflecting their current form and overall record of 27-13-3. However, given recent trends and team performances, this game promises to be more complex than just a straightforward victory for Edmonton.

The Oilers’ offense has been potent this season, averaging 3.3 goals per game on 32 shots with a shooting percentage of 10.4%. Their ability to generate offensive zone time is evident in their impressive offensive zone percentage of 55.2%. They also boast a respectable power play percentage of 25.5%, converting over half a goal per game while up a man. This offensive firepower was on display in their last outing when they secured a solid win against the Hurricanes.

In contrast, the Ducks have struggled offensively this season, managing only 2.6 goals per game on around 28 shots with a shooting percentage of just 9.3%. Their corsi percentage sits at a lowly 46.8%, indicating that they often find themselves chasing possession rather than dictating play. Additionally, Anaheim’s power play effectiveness has been subpar at best; they convert only about 12.6% of their chances into goals.

Defensively, both teams present interesting stats as well. The Oilers have an admirable save percentage of nearly 89.5% but struggle somewhat on the penalty kill with only a success rate of 75%. Meanwhile, the Ducks are marginally better in terms of saves (90.4%) but lag behind in penalty killing efficiency at just under 74%.

Given these statistics and trends leading into Tuesday’s clash, I predict that while Edmonton will likely emerge victorious due to their superior scoring ability and overall performance metrics, it might not be as one-sided as some may expect—especially considering how Anaheim has covered the spread effectively lately (7-1 ATS in their last eight games).

Furthermore, I anticipate that bettors looking at the total score should lean towards betting UNDER six goals based on both teams’ recent scoring patterns and defensive capabilities—particularly given that Anaheim has seen six out of its last nine games go UNDER.

In conclusion, my prediction is for Edmonton to secure a win over Anaheim tonight; however, I believe Anaheim will cover the spread given their recent trend against it and improving form despite their overall struggles this season—while keeping total scores low aligns well with what we’ve observed statistically thus far.