Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos - November 17, 2024

As I look ahead to the matchup between the Atlanta Falcons and the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High, it’s clear that there are some intriguing stats and trends to analyze. The oddsmakers opened this contest with Atlanta as -2.5-point favorites, while the total for the game was set at 43.5 points.

Let’s start by examining both teams’ performance metrics so far this season. The Falcons have been putting up an average of 23.8 points per game, showcasing a dynamic offensive approach with an impressive passing game that averages 264.8 yards per contest on a completion rate of 68.2%. They also boast a solid rushing attack, averaging around 124.7 yards per game at 7.9 yards per attempt—these figures indicate they can effectively balance their offense.

On the flip side, we have the Broncos who are scoring an average of 19.7 points per game—a stark contrast to Atlanta’s output—and their passing numbers sit significantly lower at approximately 200.1 yards through the air with a completion percentage of about 63.5%. Their ground attack is decent but not as potent as Atlanta’s; they average around 117.1 rush yards per game at just over six yards per attempt.

From recent performances, it’s worth noting that both teams suffered narrow defeats in their last outings; however, Denver managed to cover the spread against Kansas City while losing narrowly (16-14), despite being substantial underdogs (+7). Meanwhile, Atlanta struggled in their loss against New Orleans (20-17) where they failed to cover as -3.5 favorites.

One trend worth highlighting is that although Denver has shown resilience recently—going 6-2 ATS in their last eight games—their overall scoring capability has not kept pace with what Atlanta brings offensively this season.

The totals tell another interesting story: Both teams fell under during their last games, which might play into our expectations for Sunday’s clash given how tightly contested low-scoring matchups can often unfold in these scenarios—especially when defenses tighten up late in games.

Given all these factors and trends leading into this matchup, I predict that the Falcons will come out on top against the Broncos tonight and cover the spread convincingly due to their superior offensive capabilities and efficiency metrics compared to those of Denver.

However, while predicting scores can be tricky, I lean toward expecting this matchup will result in combined scoring that stays below the established total of 43.5 points based on both teams’ tendencies demonstrated thus far this season—they seem more inclined towards controlling possession than engaging in high-scoring shootouts.

In summary: Look for a strong showing from Atlanta as they take advantage of defensive lapses from Denver while keeping things tight defensively themselves; expect them to win by covering (-2.5) and anticipate another UNDER outcome based on current patterns observed across both squads!