Calgary Flames @ Edmonton Oilers - March 29, 2025

Ah, the Battle of Alberta. There’s nothing quite like it. When the Calgary Flames take on the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place, you can expect fireworks, drama, and a healthy dose of unpredictability. With the Oilers opening as -132 moneyline favorites, this matchup has all the makings of an exciting showdown.

Let’s break it down. The Oilers come into this game with a solid record of 41-26-5 and have been lighting up the scoreboard with an average of 3.3 goals per game. They generate around 32 shots on net per outing, boasting a shooting percentage that hovers just above 10%. Their offensive zone presence is impressive too; they spend over 55% of their time in the opponent’s zone, which is crucial for maintaining pressure.

However, despite their offensive prowess, Edmonton’s recent performance raises some eyebrows. After suffering a brutal 6-1 loss to Seattle—where they failed to find their rhythm—the Oilers will be eager to bounce back in front of their home crowd. And let’s not forget about their power play; converting at a respectable rate of over 25%, they can capitalize on any mistakes made by Calgary.

On the other side, we have the Flames who are looking to recover from a disappointing 5-2 defeat against Dallas. With a record sitting at 34-26-11 and averaging only about 2.6 goals per game, Calgary has struggled offensively this season compared to their provincial rivals. They’re generating fewer shots (around 29) and have a lower shooting percentage at just above 9%.

But don’t count them out entirely! Despite these struggles, they’ve shown resilience lately with four wins in their last five games—though they’ve dropped six out of nine against the spread recently. The Flames’ ability to score might be limited, but if there’s one thing I’ve learned over my years in betting: when two rivals clash like this, anything can happen.

From a defensive standpoint, both teams are relatively even; however, Calgary edges out slightly with an impressive save percentage (89.8%) compared to Edmonton’s (89.2%). This could be key if it turns into a goaltending duel.

Now let’s talk predictions: I’m leaning towards an Edmonton victory here—they’re simply too strong offensively for Calgary’s defense to handle consistently throughout sixty minutes. However, I believe that Calgary will cover the spread as underdogs because rivalries often breed close contests where every goal counts more than usual.

As for total goals? Given both teams’ recent trends—the Oilers having gone OVER in five straight games and Calgary seeing seven overs in their last eight—I’m expecting another high-scoring affair tonight.

So there you have it: I’m calling for an Edmonton win but with Calgary covering the spread—and yes folks, get ready for plenty of goals because this one should go OVER! Grab your lucky charm and place those bets wisely!