Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals - November 3, 2024

As I settle into my seat at State Farm Stadium, excitement is in the air. On Sunday, the Chicago Bears will collide with the Arizona Cardinals in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. Oddsmakers have opened the game with the Bears as slight favorites, with a spread of just -1 point, and a total set at 47.5.

Looking back at their last outings, the Cardinals managed a nail-biting 28-27 victory against the Dolphins on the road, covering the +5-point spread handily. The total in that game soared above expectations with a combined score of 55 points, leaving OVER bettors smiling. On the flip side, the Bears stumbled in their last performance, losing 18-15 against the Commanders. Unfortunately, they failed to cover as a +1.5-point underdog, with the total score falling well short, resulting in an UNDER.

When examining Chicago’s recent form, their road struggles become apparent. The Bears are winless in their last five games away from home, posting a lackluster record of 0-5 SU (straight up). What’s more, they’ve found it challenging to cover the spread, going 0-4-1 ATS in their last five road games. The fact that the total has finished UNDER in each of those contests suggests that their offense may have difficulty finding its rhythm on the road.

On the other hand, the Cardinals, while boasting a 4-4 record, seem to be gaining momentum. With a decent 5-3 ATS mark this season, they’ve been a tough out, even if their overall home record (5-20 SU in their last 25) can be discouraging for die-hard fans. However, Arizona has certainly shown they can cover spreads, going 7-3 ATS over their last ten games.

Statistically speaking, both teams are relatively close in points scored per game—with the Bears averaging 23.3 and the Cardinals at 22.3. That said, Arizona has proven to be more effective on the ground, averaging 141.8 rushing yards per game compared to Chicago’s 117.9. The Cardinals’ efficiency through the air, with a completion percentage of 67.7%, might also give them the upper hand against a struggling Bears secondary.

So, what can we expect from this matchup? I predict that the Arizona Cardinals will emerge victorious and cover the spread. The fans and experts alike may be surprised by this outcome, but the Cardinals’ recent success and home-field advantage suggest they’re ready to take a stand. As for the total, I anticipate that it will remain under the 47.5 mark, as both teams have a tendency to play conservatively, especially given Chicago’s recent road woes.

As I prepare for the game, I can’t help but feel that the Cardinals will capitalize on their recent performances and notch a critical win over the Bears. For the fans at State Farm Stadium, it should be an entertaining afternoon filled with strategic maneuvers, high stakes, and perhaps a dash of drama. Let’s get ready for some football!