Charlotte Hornets @ Indiana Pacers - April 2, 2025

Alright, folks, gather round because we’ve got an intriguing matchup on our hands tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Indiana Pacers are set to square off against the Charlotte Hornets, and if you’ve been betting as long as I have, you know this is the type of game where value can be found if you know where to look.

Oddsmakers have opened up with the Pacers sitting pretty as -14-point favorites, which might seem like a heavy line but remember—this is a team that’s been cooking lately. They recently snagged a tight 111-109 victory over the Kings, though they didn’t cover the -3.5 spread. Still, winning at home is crucial for their confidence and momentum.

Now let’s talk numbers. The Pacers are averaging around 117 points per game with an impressive shooting percentage hovering just above 49%. Their ability to connect from three-point range (almost 37%!) gives them that extra edge in spacing and scoring efficiency. Meanwhile, they’ve been racking up about 29 assists per game—meaning they’re sharing the ball well and creating opportunities for each other.

On the flip side, we’ve got the Hornets who are struggling mightily this season with a record of just 19-56 SU. They’re only putting up about 106 points on average with a field goal percentage below 43%. Frankly speaking, those offensive stats tell me they’re in trouble tonight against a Pacers squad that can light it up when they want to.

Defensively, Indiana has had its ups and downs but grabs around 41 total rebounds per game while allowing themselves to be turned over almost 13 times on average—definitely something to keep an eye on. Charlotte does have an edge in rebounding with about 45 boards per game but their defense doesn’t seem to translate into stops consistently.

Now here’s where my betting instincts kick in—the spread feels large for sure at -14 points; however, given the recent trends where Charlotte has gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games and only won once in their last six outings (1-5 SU), I’m leaning towards Indiana not only winning but covering that spread too.

As for the total points? With both teams showing tendencies toward low-scoring affairs lately—Indiana’s last went under at a total of 220 and Charlotte barely scraped by at 216 versus Utah—I see tonight’s action being another UNDER play for us.

So here’s my prediction: expect Indiana to take down Charlotte decisively while also covering that hefty spread. And if you’re feeling superstitious like I often do before big bets? Maybe wear your lucky socks or grab your favorite drink before tip-off! Good luck out there; may your bets be ever in your favor!