Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos - December 15, 2024

Alright, folks! It’s that time of the week again—game day is here, and the excitement is palpable as the Indianapolis Colts roll into Empower Field at Mile High to take on our Denver Broncos. I’m decked out in my lucky jersey, ready to cheer for my boys. The energy in the city is electric; you can just feel it in your bones!

Now, let’s dive into this matchup. The oddsmakers opened with the Colts as slight favorites by a mere 2 points, but honestly, I see this game swinging heavily in favor of our Broncos. Let’s talk numbers—Denver has been on fire lately with a record of 8-5 and an impressive 10-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve got a current winning streak of three games and are covering more often than not, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests. And did I mention that they’ve gone OVER in 7 of their last 9? That means they’re scoring big and keeping us on the edge of our seats!

On the flip side, we have Indianapolis coming off a narrow victory against New England. Sure, they’re sitting at a mediocre 6-7 record overall and have struggled recently with just one cover in their last five games (1-4 ATS). Plus, their offensive stats paint a bit of a grim picture; averaging only about 20 points per game compared to Denver’s solid 23.5 makes me question if they can keep up.

Let’s break down some numbers: The Colts average about 207 passing yards per game with a completion percentage hovering around just over 54%. Meanwhile, Denver has been moving that ball effectively through both air and ground—221 passing yards with nearly a solid completion rate of about 64%. Their rushing attack averages around 111 yards per game too! With those kinds of stats supporting them, it’s hard not to be excited for what our offense will do today.

I expect to see Denver come out swinging right from kickoff! Our defense has been stepping up too—allowing fewer points recently while finding ways to create turnovers when it matters most. If they can stifle Indy’s run game early on (which averages about 118 rushing yards), it could force them into predictable passing situations where we can capitalize.

Now for my prediction: I believe that while Denver pulls out the win tonight—and let me tell you how much I want that—they might not cover that spread since they’re favored by only two points. So don’t be surprised if Indianapolis manages to keep it close enough to cover even if they don’t pull off an outright win.

As for total points? With both teams averaging under their respective scores lately and defenses tightening up during critical moments—I think we might see something closer to UNDER than OVER tonight.

So grab your snacks and settle in; it’s going to be another thrilling Sunday full of heart-pounding action! Go Broncos! 🏈💙💛