Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche - April 23, 2025

Well, here we are again, gearing up for another thrilling NHL showdown. The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche are set to clash at Ball Arena on Wednesday night, and let me tell you, the stakes couldn’t be higher. Oddsmakers have opened with the Avalanche as -140 moneyline favorites against the Stars, but if you’ve been in this game long enough like I have, you know that anything can happen when these two teams meet.

The last time they faced off was a wild one—a 4-3 victory for Dallas that had many bettors cashing in on the +102 moneyline. With a total score of 7 goals in that match-up, OVER bettors were celebrating while UNDER bettors were left lamenting their choices. However, as we dive into this preview, there’s a different vibe in the air.

Let’s break it down: Colorado comes into this game boasting an average of 3.349 goals per game with a solid shooting percentage of 11.429%. Their power play is nothing to scoff at either—converting nearly 25% of their chances—which means they’re capable of striking fast when given the opportunity. On the defensive end, they hold an impressive save percentage of 89.1%, which should give them some confidence heading into this matchup.

Now flip over to Dallas: They’re not far behind offensively with an average of 3.325 goals per game and a slightly better shooting percentage at 12.358%. However, their power play struggles just a tad compared to Colorado’s; sitting at around 22%. Defensively though? The Stars shine brighter than most with a stellar save percentage of 90.7% and an even better penalty kill rate at 82%.

Here’s where it gets interesting: despite having great stats on paper, Dallas has hit a rough patch lately—1-8 SU in their last nine games—and you can feel the pressure mounting on them. They’ve shown resilience against Colorado historically though, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten meetings.

My gut tells me that while Colorado might come out firing on all cylinders and ultimately snagging the win tonight due to their home advantage and recent form (17-8 SU in their last 25 games), don’t count out Dallas covering that spread—they’re due for some positive regression after such dismal outings.

I’m feeling superstitious tonight too; I’ll be wearing my lucky socks while placing my bets because I believe rituals matter just as much as stats!

In terms of scoring expectations? I’m leaning towards taking the UNDER for total goals scored based on both teams’ recent trends—especially considering how crucial defense will be tonight.

So here’s my prediction: Colorado wins by a narrow margin; however, expect Dallas to cover that spread with determination etched across their faces. And as always—may your bets be ever in your favor!