Dallas Stars @ Colorado Avalanche - April 26, 2025

Divisional bragging rights are on the line this Saturday as the Dallas Stars head to Ball Arena to face off against the Colorado Avalanche. Oddsmakers have opened with the Avalanche as -167 favorites, and let me tell you, there’s a lot riding on this game. The total has been set at 7.5, which indicates they expect a high-scoring affair, but I’m not so sure about that.

Let’s take a look at what each team brings to the ice. The Avalanche have shown some offensive prowess this season, averaging 3.3 goals per game with a shooting percentage of 11.3%. They’ve also managed to keep their power play ticking along at a respectable 24.8%, converting just over half of their chances into goals. However, despite these numbers, they find themselves in a rough patch lately, going just 2-4 straight up in their last six games and failing to cover the spread in five consecutive home games.

On the flip side, we have the Dallas Stars who recently pulled off an impressive win against Colorado as +163 underdogs—an unexpected victory that caught many by surprise given their recent struggles (2-8 SU in their last ten). They’re averaging 3.3 goals per game as well but hold a slightly better shooting percentage at 12.3%. Their power play is less effective than Colorado’s at 22%, but they’ve shown resilience defensively with an impressive save percentage of 90.7% and an even better penalty kill rate of 82%.

So what does all this mean for Saturday? My gut tells me that while Colorado might be favored due to home-ice advantage and overall talent level, they’re currently stumbling when it matters most—especially at home where they’ve struggled significantly against the spread (0-5 ATS). Meanwhile, Dallas seems to be finding its footing again after that recent win.

I predict that Colorado will edge out Dallas for the win because they still possess more firepower and home advantage despite their recent woes. However, I believe Dallas will cover the spread since they are riding some momentum from that last victory over them. The total score? Well, I’m leaning towards it being UNDER given both teams’ recent trends—their last matchup saw only three total goals scored.

If you’re looking for value here—and trust me after years of betting experience—I’d recommend taking Dallas on the spread while keeping your eyes peeled for an UNDER bet as well. It’s risky business predicting outcomes in hockey; anything can happen on any given night—but with my betting rituals intact and a bit of luck on our side, let’s see if we can turn those odds into cash!