Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers - October 27, 2024

As the San Francisco 49ers prepare to face the Dallas Cowboys this Sunday at Levi’s Stadium, it’s shaping up to be a thrilling matchup with intriguing implications for both teams. Currently, the odds favor the 49ers by 4.5 points, suggesting that oddsmakers are expecting San Francisco to regain its footing after a disappointing home loss against the Chiefs. Given Dallas’s recent struggles, particularly in their last game against the Lions where they were absolutely routed, it’s clear that both teams are desperate for a win.

Let’s start with the numbers. San Francisco has been averaging 25.7 points per game, showcasing a balanced attack with 263 yards through the air and an impressive 149.9 rushing yards per game. Their 63.7% completion rate reflects a consistent passing game, and with 8.6 yards per attempt, they’re not just moving the ball—they’re doing it efficiently. In contrast, the Cowboys have been averaging 21 points, bolstered by impressive passing stats of 275.7 yards and a 64.7% completion rate, though their rushing game has struggled significantly, averaging just 77.2 yards per game.

Historically, the Cowboys have been a solid road team when they find their rhythm, with a record of 4-1 in their last five away games, suggesting they might thrive in a hostile environment. However, recent trends show that Dallas is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games, indicating that they have struggled to cover lines—especially when playing at the level we expect from a team of their caliber.

For the 49ers, their recent ATS record is even more concerning, as they are 3-8 in their last eleven games. These struggles have created a sense of uncertainty around their performances, and last week’s efforts not only left them with a loss but also saw them fail to cover the spread as favorites. Yet, with a total of 45.5, the OVER has been profitable in 6 of their last 9 games, which might bode well for our prediction of a high-scoring offensive clash.

I see the 49ers turning things around this week against a Cowboys team that is reeling from heavy losses. They simply can’t afford to lose again, especially at home. I anticipate they’ll harness their ground game effectively against a Cowboys run defense that has shown vulnerabilities. Additionally, their passing attack seems poised to exploit any gaps given Dallas’s porous defense demonstrated in their recent outings.

My prediction? The 49ers will likely not only win this game but will also cover the spread. As for the total points, I believe this match-up will likely go OVER the established number. Both teams have the firepower to ensure that the scoreboard lights up, and with that dynamic, fans should be in for an entertaining showdown. All signs point to a victory for San Francisco as they aim to re-establish their dominance in the NFC.