Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Dodgers - March 29, 2025

As I prepare for the matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium, I’m excited to dive into some numbers that could help us predict what we might see on Saturday. Both teams are looking for a win, but given their recent performances and pitching matchups, there are some interesting trends to consider.

The Tigers will be sending Reese Olson to the mound. While he has yet to record a win this season, his ERA sits at a respectable 3.681, indicating that he can limit runs effectively. His strikeout rate of 8.3 per game suggests that he can generate swings and misses when needed. The team’s offense has been less than stellar so far; they average just 4.2 runs with a batting average of .227. However, they have shown resilience in covering spreads lately, going 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games.

On the other hand, Roki Sasaki is taking the hill for the Dodgers with an ERA of 3.966 and an impressive strikeout rate of about 8.5 per game—showing his ability to keep batters off balance. The Dodgers have had a strong start to their season with four consecutive wins and an overall record of 4-0 SU (straight up). Their offense is firing on all cylinders as well; they’re averaging over five runs per game along with nearly nine hits per contest while maintaining a solid .250 batting average.

Bettors have taken notice of these trends: oddsmakers opened this game with the Dodgers favored at -185 against the Tigers’ moneyline odds. Given how well Los Angeles has performed recently—winning both games against Detroit this season—it’s no surprise that many expect them to continue their winning streak.

However, if we look deeper into these statistics, it becomes evident that while the Dodgers boast better offensive numbers overall, they may not maintain such high scoring averages every night against quality pitching like Olson’s. The total opened at 8.5 runs which seems generous considering both pitchers’ capabilities combined with each team’s recent performance trends.

In fact, despite my initial inclination towards predicting an OVER outcome based on previous matchups where totals exceeded expectations (the last game ended up totaling 13), I think this one might lean more towards UNDER given both starters’ ability to limit damage and induce strikeouts.

So here’s my prediction: I believe there’s potential for an upset here—the Tigers could pull off a surprising victory over the Dodgers today as Olson finds ways to navigate through their lineup effectively while Sasaki faces challenges from Detroit’s batsmen who might finally find some rhythm after struggling early in the season.

Ultimately though? Expecting fewer runs scored than anticipated feels prudent—a low-scoring affair under those total points might just be what we witness tonight!