Detroit Tigers @ Milwaukee Brewers - April 14, 2025

As I gear up for Monday’s matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field, I can’t help but dive into the numbers that tell a compelling story about what we might expect from this game. The starting pitchers are set to be Tarik Skubal for the Tigers and Tyler Alexander for the Brewers, each bringing their own narrative to this duel.

Starting with Skubal, he comes into this game with a 1-2 record and a 3.7 ERA. While his win-loss record isn’t sparkling, his strikeout rate of 8.4 per nine innings shows that he can still dominate hitters when he’s on his game. The key here is consistency; if he can maintain that level of performance without too many walks or hard-hit balls, he could keep Milwaukee’s lineup in check.

On the flip side, Tyler Alexander boasts a perfect 1-0 record but has an inflated ERA of 5.3, which raises some eyebrows. His strikeout rate is slightly lower than Skubal’s at 8.5 per nine innings, indicating that while he may have had some success early in the season, there are underlying concerns about his ability to navigate through tough lineups consistently.

When we look at team stats, both squads have been productive offensively but with differing results on average runs scored per game—Detroit averages about 5.1 runs compared to Milwaukee’s higher output of around 5.4 runs per contest. However, it’s worth noting that Detroit has shown better discipline at the plate with a batting average of .257 compared to Milwaukee’s .237.

Defensively speaking, both teams have demonstrated trends toward lower-scoring games recently; Detroit has gone under in five of its last seven contests while Milwaukee has seen four out of its last six games also finish under the total scoreline—this aligns well with our expectations for tonight’s matchup as well.

The oddsmakers opened this contest with Detroit favored at -159 on the moneyline and set the over/under at just 7.5 runs—a number that feels appropriate given both teams’ recent trends towards lower scoring outputs.

In predicting how this game will unfold tonight: I believe we’ll see a solid performance from Skubal who will likely keep Milwaukee’s bats quiet enough to lead Detroit towards victory. Meanwhile, Alexander may struggle against a disciplined Tigers lineup which could result in fewer scoring opportunities for Milwaukee.

Ultimately, I’m leaning towards taking Detroit not only to win but also betting on the total going under based on recent performances from both pitching staffs and offensive units alike. So grab your popcorn; it looks like we’re in for an intriguing battle tonight!