Edmonton Oilers @ Los Angeles Kings - April 23, 2025

As the Edmonton Oilers prepare to face off against the Los Angeles Kings at Crypto.com Arena, this matchup is shaping up to be an intriguing battle of division rivals. The odds have opened with the Oilers as slight -105 moneyline favorites, but given recent performances and statistical insights, we might see a different outcome.

The Kings come into this game boasting a solid record of 49-25-9 and are riding high on a five-game winning streak. Their offensive stats reveal they average approximately 3.0 goals per game on about 28 shots with an 11.3% shooting percentage. While their power play has been less than stellar at just under 18%, their ability to generate offense from open play keeps them competitive.

Defensively, the Kings have shown resilience with a save percentage of 90.3% and an impressive penalty kill rate of over 81%. This defensive prowess could prove crucial against an Oilers team that excels in scoring but also struggles defensively.

On the other hand, Edmonton’s record stands at 48-30-5, and despite their recent loss to Los Angeles (6-5), they remain dangerous offensively, averaging around 3.2 goals per game on nearly 32 shots—a notable advantage in volume compared to their opponents. Their power play is particularly effective at converting opportunities with a success rate of nearly 24%. However, it’s worth noting that they’ve had difficulty keeping pucks out of their net; they hold only an 89.4% save percentage along with a penalty kill that lags behind the Kings’ performance.

Recent trends indicate that while Edmonton has been strong against the spread (4-1 ATS in its last five games), they’ve also seen nine out of their last eleven games go UNDER—suggesting a potential for tighter scoring contests rather than shootouts.

Given these factors, I predict that Los Angeles will edge out Edmonton tonight based on current form and home ice advantage. They’ve demonstrated consistency recently and could capitalize on any defensive lapses by the Oilers. However, I believe Edmonton will manage to cover the spread due to their offensive capabilities—if they can convert enough chances while limiting mistakes defensively.

As for total goals scored in this matchup? Given both teams’ recent trends—particularly Edmonton’s tendency towards lower-scoring outcomes—I expect it will fall below the set line of 5.5 goals tonight.

In summary:
1. **Prediction**: Los Angeles wins.
2. **Spread**: Edmonton covers.
3. **Total Goals**: Expect it to go UNDER.

This matchup promises excitement as both teams vie for critical points within their division standings!