Edmonton Oilers @ Vegas Golden Knights - April 1, 2025

As the Edmonton Oilers prepare to face off against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, both teams are looking to secure valuable points in the playoff race. The oddsmakers have opened with Vegas as -154 favorites, reflecting their recent success and home-ice advantage. With a total set at 5.5, it’s clear that expectations for scoring are tempered.

The Golden Knights enter this matchup riding a six-game winning streak, showcasing their ability to dominate on both ends of the ice. Offensively, they average 3.4 goals per game with a solid shooting percentage of 11.4%. Their Corsi percentage sits at 51.3%, indicating they control more puck possession than they concede—a crucial factor in determining game outcomes.

Defensively, Vegas has been equally impressive, boasting a save percentage of 90.1% and successfully killing off 75.5% of penalties faced—numbers that suggest they can withstand pressure from opposing power plays effectively.

On the other hand, the Oilers come into this contest with a record of 42-26-5 and are fresh off a narrow victory over Calgary where they won 3-2. Edmonton’s offensive stats show them averaging around 3.2 goals per game but slightly lagging behind Vegas with a shooting percentage of just over 10%. They do generate more shots per game (32.1), which could be an important factor if they can capitalize on those opportunities.

However, defensively Edmonton has struggled at times this season; their save percentage is lower than Vegas at 89.2%, and while their penalty kill is slightly better than that of the Knights at nearly 77%, it’s still not elite by any means.

When we look deeper into trends: Edmonton is just 7-16 against the spread in its last 23 games and has dropped four out of five on the road recently; these stats indicate potential vulnerabilities when away from home ice.

Considering all factors leading up to Tuesday night’s showdown, I predict that while Vegas will likely emerge victorious given their current form and home advantage, I believe Edmonton will cover the spread due to their need for points and ability to keep games close—even if it means relying on strong goaltending or opportunistic scoring late in games.

As for the total score prediction? Given both teams’ recent tendencies towards lower-scoring affairs—with five out of six games going under for each team—it seems prudent to expect another match where defenses play a critical role in keeping scores down below that total line set at 5.5.

In summary: I foresee a tight contest where Vegas claims victory but doesn’t blow out Edmonton—resulting in an underwhelming scoreline conducive to an UNDER bet hitting comfortably tonight as well!