ITSA

Fiorentina @ Lazio - January 26, 2025

January 26, 2025, 9:50am EST

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MONEYLINE PICK

Lazio

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

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BetUS

laz

+106

OVER/UNDER PICK

Under

2.5

Bet Amount

$

Potential Payout

Potential Payout

Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.

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BetUS

2.5

-116

As a retired coach who has spent countless hours dissecting match dynamics and strategies, I can confidently say that this clash between S.S. Lazio and ACF Fiorentina is ripe with tension and drama. Scheduled for Sunday, this encounter doesn’t just mean three points; it carries the weight of bragging rights in Serie A, which is never a small matter. Let’s delve into what we can expect based on their current standings and recent performances.

S.S. Lazio comes into this match boasting a record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, placing them solidly in 4th position on the Serie A table. They are fresh off an impressive 3-0 victory against Hellas Verona. This win not only stirred enthusiasm among their fans but also provided the team with a much-needed confidence boost. Scoring three goals in a single match will undoubtedly have their offensive players looking to maintain that form, and I expect them to adopt an aggressive strategy early on, aiming to establish dominance on their home turf.

On the flip side, ACF Fiorentina sits at 6th place with a record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. They come into this matchup with a more turbulent rhythm, having drawn 1-1 against Torino F.C. in their last outing. While a draw is a decent outcome, it reflects a lack of decisiveness in their forward play and an inability to close out games. This is something that their coaching staff will have certainly scrutinized, and I anticipate they will encourage a more assertive approach this time, especially considering the rivalry at stake.

From a tactical standpoint, Lazio will likely seek to control the midfield and push the pace, utilizing their home-field advantage. They know the importance of making an early statement and will drive forward to exert pressure on Fiorentina’s defense. Expect plenty of quick transitions and attempts at breaking through defenses; if they find success early, it could become a long day for the visitors.

Fiorentina, conversely, may look to adopt a more counter-attacking style. Their recent draw might have been seen as a wake-up call, and if they can absorb pressure and hit Lazio on the break, they have the potential to pose threats. However, they will need to be particularly careful in terms of positioning and discipline. If they allow Lazio too much space, they could find themselves in a difficult position, reminiscent of times where a defensive lapse resulted in a quick succession of goals from the opposing team.

My analytical instincts suggest that this game could see a flurry of action, and while both sides have their strengths, Lazio’s home advantage and current form might give them the upper hand. The odds are reflecting a Lazio victory, but with a draw sitting at odds of 241, don’t discount the possibility. Neither team is typically shy about goals, but I believe a low-scoring affair is also in play based on Fiorentina’s need to respect their defensive responsibilities.

In summary, while Lazio will aim to establish energetic and attacking play to seize their home ground, Fiorentina will need to remain disciplined while searching for counter-attacking opportunities. Expect fireworks, tension, and a match that will offer plenty to talk about post-game—one that ultimately could swing in favor of Lazio.

Lazio vs Fiorentina
Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BetUS

Wager TypeLazioFiorentina
Spread-0.25 (-127) +0.25 (+104)
Moneyline+106+251
TotalUnder 2.5 (-116)Over 2.5 (-106)
Team DataLazioFiorentina
Score1.761.65
Goals1.711.60
Shots13.3813.00
Shots on Target4.624.45
Passing Percentage82.94%80.84%
Fouls12.0511.35