Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks - March 4, 2025

Alright, folks, let’s dive into this intriguing matchup between the New York Knicks and the Golden State Warriors at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are on a roll with three straight wins, and the energy in the Big Apple is electric right now. They opened as -3-point favorites, but you know I’m not just looking at numbers—I’m looking for that extra edge.

The Knicks have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, averaging about 117.7 points per game with a solid shooting percentage of 49.4%. Their ball movement? Impressive too—with around 27 assists each game. However, let’s not forget their recent struggles against the spread (1-6 ATS in their last seven). So while they’re winning games outright, it hasn’t been quite as smooth when it comes to covering those spreads.

On the flip side, we have the Warriors—who’ve hit their stride recently as well. They’re riding high after a convincing victory over Charlotte where they won by 18 and covered a hefty -12-point spread. Their offensive stats look decent too; averaging around 113 points per game with an effective shooting percentage of just under 45%. But hold on—defensively they commit nearly 20 fouls per game and lose possession more than what you’d like to see.

Now looking specifically at rebounding: The Warriors grab about 46 boards per game compared to New York’s nearly 43. This could be crucial since second-chance opportunities can be a killer in tight contests like these.

In terms of scoring efficiency from behind the arc, both teams are hovering around that mid-30% mark for three-pointers—nothing stellar but enough to keep defenses honest. However, when it comes down to free throws, New York has been significantly better at hitting their shots from the line (80.6%) compared to Golden State’s not-so-great 74.1%.

So where do we go from here? I sense that tonight might just be a night where the Knicks flex their muscles at home after that win against Miami—even if they didn’t cover there either! With Golden State being forced to travel cross-country after a big win makes me think they’ll struggle slightly against this surging team.

My prediction? I see New York taking this one down convincingly enough to cover that -3 spread while keeping things tighter on defense than you might expect given both teams’ recent performances. The total? I’m leaning toward it going under tonight; I reckon we might see some gritty defense prevail rather than an all-out shootout.

So let’s keep our fingers crossed and stick with our lucky rituals before placing those bets! Here’s hoping for another legendary win tonight!