Los Angeles Kings @ Edmonton Oilers - January 13, 2025

As the Los Angeles Kings prepare to face off against the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place, there’s a palpable sense of anticipation surrounding this matchup. The Oilers enter as -169 moneyline favorites, and with their recent form, it’s easy to see why oddsmakers favor them. After a thrilling 4-3 victory over the Blackhawks, Edmonton continues to showcase its offensive prowess, averaging 3.3 goals per game along with an impressive shooting percentage of 10.3%. Their ability to generate shots (32.2 per game) and maintain a strong corsi percentage of 54.5% highlights their dominance in puck possession.

However, while the Oilers have been riding high lately with a record of 26-13-3, they have also shown some vulnerabilities on defense, allowing opponents to capitalize on scoring chances more than one would hope for from a contender. With an average save percentage of 89.3%, they must tighten up defensively if they want to secure another win against a competitive Kings team.

On the other side of the ice is Los Angeles, which comes into this contest after a narrow 2-1 loss against Calgary. Despite that setback, their overall record stands at 24-11-5—an impressive feat that underscores their resilience and capacity for bouncing back quickly from defeats. The Kings are known for being stingy defensively; they boast an excellent save percentage of 90.1% and an even better penalty kill rate at 81.8%. This defensive acumen will be crucial as they look to contain Edmonton’s high-octane offense.

Offensively, however, Los Angeles has struggled somewhat compared to their opponents; they’re averaging just over three goals per game (3.1), but their shooting percentage is slightly higher than Edmonton’s at 11.7%. They do share similar power play opportunities with both teams averaging around two-and-a-half chances per game; however, LA’s power play success rate lags significantly behind at just 15%.

Given these statistics and trends leading into Monday night’s matchup, I predict that while Edmonton may emerge victorious in terms of total goals scored due to their potent offense—Los Angeles will manage to cover the spread as underdogs thanks largely in part to their solid defensive structure and goaltending performance.

Furthermore, considering both teams’ recent history where totals have leaned towards the UNDER (four out of five games for LA and four out of six for Edmonton), it’s reasonable to expect that tonight’s score may not exceed six goals combined—a fitting conclusion given both teams’ current trajectories.

In summary: Expect an exciting yet tightly contested battle where Edmonton likely secures the win but fails to run away with it entirely; thus allowing Los Angeles not only to cover but also keep things low-scoring enough for those betting on the UNDER line!