NBA
Miami Heat @ New York Knicks - March 17, 2025
March 17, 2025, 9:01am EDT
TSG A.I. Picks
7:30pm EDT, Monday | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|
New York Knicks | -7.5 -110 | -310 | O 216 -110 |
Miami Heat | +7.5 -110 | +250 | U 216 -110 |
Confidence Score For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how "confident" we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners. |
7:30pm EDT, Monday
Spread
For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how "confident" we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners.
New York Knicks
-7.5
-110
Miami Heat
+7.5
-110
Moneyline
New York Knicks
-310
Miami Heat
+250
Over/Under
Over 216
-110
Under 216
-110
Odds Provided By BetUS
SPREAD PICK
New York Knicks
-7.5
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
MONEYLINE PICK
New York Knicks
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
OVER/UNDER PICK
Under
216
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
When the Miami Heat roll into Madison Square Garden to face off against the New York Knicks, fans can expect a clash of contrasting fortunes. With the Knicks standing at 42-23, they’ve been solid this season, while the Heat are struggling at 29-37 and riding a six-game losing streak. This game presents a great opportunity for New York to further establish their position in the Eastern Conference.
The Knicks are coming off a close loss to the Warriors, which was indicative of their competitive spirit this season. While they fell short at 97-94, they managed to cover as underdogs—a testament to their ability to fight even when things aren’t going perfectly. In terms of offensive efficiency, they’re putting up an impressive 117.1 points per game on nearly 49% shooting from the field. Their ability to score effectively is underscored by their proficiency from three-point range at just over 36%, and their free throw shooting is commendable as well.
Defensively, New York has shown resilience with solid rebounding numbers and average turnovers that have kept them in games more often than not. They grab around 42.9 boards per contest and manage almost eight steals—a crucial factor in creating turnovers that lead to easy baskets.
Conversely, Miami has struggled offensively this season with only about 109.6 points per game on approximately 45.9% shooting—numbers that highlight their difficulties compared to New York’s output. Their recent performance against Memphis was particularly troubling; they lost by a staggering margin and failed miserably as underdogs—a narrative that reflects broader challenges within the squad.
On defense, Miami does have slightly better rebounding stats than New York but remains vulnerable due to higher turnover averages on both ends of the floor—losing about 13.7 possessions each night can be detrimental against a Knicks team that’s looking for every opportunity to capitalize on those mistakes.
Given all these factors heading into Monday’s matchup, my prediction leans heavily towards a win for the Knicks by covering a -7.5 spread based on their current form and home court advantage at Madison Square Garden—one of basketball’s most intimidating venues for opposing teams.
With regard to scoring dynamics, I also anticipate this contest ending below the total set at 216 points due largely in part due to Miami’s struggles finding consistent offense against what is proving increasingly reliable defensive plays from New York.
In summary: The Knicks will emerge victorious over the Heat tonight while covering the spread comfortably—and expect another low-scoring affair as both teams grapple with competing styles amid differing trajectories this season.
New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Live Odds & Betting History
Betting odds provided by BetUS
Wager Type | New York Knicks | Miami Heat |
---|---|---|
Spread | -7.5 (-110) | +7.5 (-110) |
Moneyline | -310 | +250 |
Total | Under 216 (-110) | Over 216 (-110) |
Team Data | New York Knicks | Miami Heat |
---|---|---|
Points | 117.09 | 109.58 |
Field Goal % | 48.97% | 45.88% |
Three Points % | 36.47% | 36.31% |
Free Throw % | 80.28% | 79.50% |
Total Rebounds | 42.94 | 43.42 |
Assists | 27.31 | 26.29 |
Steals | 7.97 | 7.94 |
Turnovers | 13.28 | 13.67 |
Personal Fouls | 17.08 | 15.80 |

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