Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - April 13, 2025

As a former coach, I have seen my share of ups and downs throughout the season. Today, fans at Chase Field will be treated to a captivating matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Arizona Diamondbacks, each team aiming for that crucial win as we progress through the season.

On the mound for Milwaukee is their right-hander with a solid record thus far. With a 2.00 ERA and an overall record that sits at 1-1, he has shown flashes of brilliance this season. His ability to strike out batters consistently keeps him in games longer than most pitchers can last, which could become pivotal against an Arizona lineup that is putting up respectable numbers—averaging around 5.5 runs per game.

The Diamondbacks will counter with their own right-hander who is struggling a bit more this year with a higher ERA hovering around 5.3 and only managing one win against two losses on his ledger. His inconsistency may open doors for the Brewers’ hitters, who are showing some promise even if they aren’t lighting up the scoreboard like they want to—averaging just over 5 runs per game themselves.

What stands out statistically in this matchup is how both teams’ lineups have fared thus far this season; Arizona’s batting average slightly edges out Milwaukee’s (.253 vs .233), but you can’t discount how much heart Milwaukee has shown recently going 8-3 SU in their last eleven games.

Looking back at their recent encounter where Arizona snuck away with a narrow victory by a score of 5-4 against Milwaukee, it’s evident that both teams are evenly matched when playing at home versus on the road. For bettors taking note of trends: while Milwaukee holds a strong position ATS (against-the-spread) lately—boasting records like 5-1 in its last six games—the Diamondbacks have been less favorable recently on their home turf (6-12 ATS over their past eighteen).

From my coaching days, one thing I always emphasized was consistency; whether it’s pitching or hitting, finding rhythm becomes critical as games unfold throughout the season. That said, if we analyze what transpired previously along with current form, I’m inclined to suggest that tonight could be a turning point for Milwaukee—they’ve showcased resilience and seem ready to bounce back from past defeats.

As far as totals go? The total opened at 8.5 runs seems optimistic given both pitchers’ recent showings—but considering how evenly matched these offenses appear on paper coupled with potential defensive slip-ups from either side, I would lean towards betting that we’ll see those scores soar beyond expectations tonight.

In conclusion: look for Milwaukee to find success tonight against Arizona and anticipate an intriguing battle of bats leading us toward an “over” outcome on total runs scored—a classic showdown as these clubs vie for momentum moving forward into another week of MLB action!