Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets - February 21, 2025

Alright, folks! It’s game day, and I can feel the excitement buzzing through the city like a live wire. The Minnesota Timberwolves are rolling into Houston to take on the Rockets at Toyota Center, and let me tell you, I’m feeling good about this one.

First off, let’s talk about the Timberwolves. They’ve been on a bit of a tear lately with a solid record of 31-25 straight up. They just came off a convincing win against the Thunder where they not only took home the W but also covered as underdogs. That’s right! They’re 4-2 against the spread in their last six games and have shown that they can compete on the road too. With an offensive output averaging around 111.5 points per game and shooting nearly 46% from the field, they’ve got some firepower to match up against anyone.

Now, don’t get me wrong; I know Houston has some talent too with their record sitting at 34-21 SU. But here’s where it gets interesting: they’ve been struggling lately, going 0-5 against the spread in their last five games and losing seven out of their last nine contests overall. Their offense is putting up about 112.7 points per game but is shooting just under 45% from the field—definitely not what you want to see if you’re trying to keep pace with a team like Minnesota.

Defensively, both teams have their strengths and weaknesses. The Rockets grab more rebounds (about 48 per game) compared to Minnesota’s 44, but they also commit more fouls (nearly 20). This could be crucial because if Minnesota can exploit those fouls at the line—where they’re hitting almost 80%—they could rack up some easy points.

As for my prediction? I’m calling it now: The Timberwolves will beat the Rockets tonight! Not only do I think they’ll take home that victory, but they’ll also cover that -5 point spread set by oddsmakers. And given both teams’ recent trends towards lower-scoring games—the total opened at just over 217—I expect this one to stay UNDER as well.

So throw on your lucky jersey (you know which one I’m talking about), grab your favorite snacks, and settle in for what should be an exciting matchup! Let’s go Wolves!