Minnesota Wild @ Vegas Golden Knights - April 29, 2025

As the Minnesota Wild prepare to face off against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, fans can expect an intriguing matchup fueled by contrasting offensive and defensive stats. The Golden Knights enter this game as -225 moneyline favorites, reflecting their strong season record of 52-24-10. Meanwhile, the Wild come in with a respectable 47-31-8 record.

Looking closely at the numbers, Vegas has been a potent offensive force this season, averaging 3.3 goals per game on 30.4 shots with a shooting percentage of 11.1%. Their ability to maintain possession is evident in their corsi percentage of 51.9% and an impressive offensive zone percentage of 55.7%. They also capitalize well on power plays, converting at a rate of 28.3%, scoring approximately two-thirds of their power play opportunities.

On the flip side, Minnesota’s offense has struggled to keep pace with only 2.8 goals per game and a shooting percentage that lags behind at just over 10%. Their corsi percentage sits lower at 48.2%, indicating they often find themselves defending rather than attacking. With only a power play conversion rate of around 20.9%, they will need to be efficient if given opportunities against Vegas’ solid penalty kill unit.

Defensively, both teams boast respectable save percentages—Vegas at 90% and Minnesota slightly better at 90.3%. However, Minnesota’s penalty kill has been less effective (72.4%) compared to Vegas (75.7%). This could be crucial as special teams often dictate playoff outcomes.

The recent trends paint an interesting picture for bettors: while Minnesota is coming off four wins in its last six games and has seen the total go OVER in four out of five contests recently, they are just one win in their last five games against the spread when playing away from home—a statistic that suggests struggles on the road might continue tonight.

In terms of predictions for this matchup, I foresee Vegas winning but not covering the spread due to Minnesota’s resilience combined with some recent momentum despite their overall challenges this season on the road. The total score is expected to remain under considering both teams’ recent performances; while Vegas excels offensively, they may not hit their average goals due to Minnesota’s defensive capabilities—particularly if they can manage to limit chances effectively.

In conclusion, expect a tightly contested game where Vegas emerges victorious but fails to cover the spread due to Minnesota’s potential for keeping it close enough while both teams battle through what could be an intense physical matchup leading into postseason considerations.