New York Knicks @ Detroit Pistons - April 10, 2025

Alright, let’s dive into this clash at Little Caesars Arena between the New York Knicks and the Detroit Pistons. With the oddsmakers setting the Pistons as -4.5-point favorites, it’s an intriguing matchup that could go either way. But I’ve got a good feeling about this one.

The last few games have been quite a rollercoaster for both teams. The Pistons recently faced off against the Kings and came up short, losing 127-117 while failing to cover as favorites. Not exactly confidence-inspiring stats there, especially considering they’ve lost four out of their last five games straight up (SU). Their defense has looked shaky, allowing opponents to score freely while only managing 44.9 rebounds per game and facing a hefty turnover rate of nearly 15 per game.

On the flip side, we have the Knicks, who are riding a decent wave with a record of 50-29 SU and having covered in six out of their last seven games against the spread (ATS). They narrowly lost to the Celtics in their latest outing but still managed to cover as underdogs which shows grit and resilience—qualities I always look for when placing my bets.

Now let’s talk numbers; both teams are scoring over 115 points per game with slightly better efficiency from New York at nearly 49% shooting compared to Detroit’s 47%. In terms of three-point shooting, they’re also neck-and-neck with minimal difference in percentage. But what stands out is that while both teams can score well, it seems like defense might be where Detroit struggles more—committing almost 21 fouls per game compared to New York’s near 17.

As for predictions? I’m leaning towards picking the Pistons to take this victory due to home-court advantage—they may find just enough energy from their fans after that recent loss. But here’s where it gets interesting: despite this potential win for Detroit, I feel confident that New York will cover that +4.5 spread. They’ve shown resilience recently and can put up points in bunches if needed.

And don’t sleep on those total points; with both offenses firing effectively coupled with questionable defenses on each side, I’m expecting this one to soar OVER the opening line of 223.5 points without breaking a sweat.

So here’s my final take: Pistons win by a narrow margin but Knicks cover—and expect plenty of fireworks on offense! Remember my betting rituals: always wear your lucky jersey (I swear it works) and keep those fingers crossed!