New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors - February 4, 2025

Divisional bragging rights are up for grabs as the New York Knicks prepare to face off against the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena. With oddsmakers opening the Knicks as -6-point favorites and a total set at 234, this matchup promises to be an exciting clash.

Let’s break down what we can expect from both teams based on their recent performances and statistics. The Knicks come into this game with a solid record of 33-17 straight up (SU) and have been on fire lately, winning six of their last seven games. Their offensive output is impressive, averaging 117.7 points per game with a shooting percentage of nearly 49.5%. They also excel from beyond the arc, hitting about 37.2% of their three-point attempts while boasting an impressive free throw percentage of over 80%. However, they’ve struggled to cover spreads recently, going just 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last six road games.

On the other hand, Toronto has had its share of struggles this season with a record of just 16-33 SU but has shown resilience by covering in 30 out of their last 49 games (61% ATS). Their offense averages only around 111.1 points per game on a shooting percentage of about 47%, which puts them at a disadvantage compared to the Knicks’ prolific scoring ability. Interestingly enough, despite being underdogs in many matchups this season, they’ve managed to find success against the spread—particularly recently where they’ve gone an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last seven outings.

Defensively, both teams show some weaknesses that could lead to high-scoring affairs. The Raptors allow opponents to grab around 44 rebounds per game while committing over 21 fouls—a statistic that could send Knicks players frequently to the charity stripe if they attack aggressively. Meanwhile, New York’s defense allows approximately 43 rebounds and commits fewer fouls than Toronto but still shows vulnerability that could lead to scoring opportunities for Toronto if they capitalize on turnovers effectively.

Given these trends and statistics leading into Tuesday’s matchup, I predict that the Knicks will not only win but also cover the spread comfortably due to their superior offensive capabilities combined with Toronto’s defensive lapses. Additionally, considering both teams’ recent trends towards high-scoring games—the total has gone OVER in four out of five for New York—it seems likely that we’ll see another offensive showcase tonight.

In summary: Expect New York to emerge victorious while covering the -6-point spread and anticipate an OVER outcome as both teams engage in what should be an entertaining battle filled with points aplenty!