Philadelphia 76ers @ Memphis Grizzlies - November 20, 2024

Alright, folks. We’ve got the Philadelphia 76ers rolling into Memphis to face the Grizzlies tonight, and it’s shaping up to be an intriguing matchup. The oddsmakers have made Memphis a slight -1 favorite, but I’m feeling a bit of magic in the air for Philly tonight.

Let’s break it down. The 76ers are struggling mightily this season with a record of just 2-11 straight-up and only covering three of their last thirteen games against the spread. They’re on a four-game losing streak and have dropped nine of their last ten, which is alarming by any standard. However, there’s something about how they’ve been playing recently that tells me they might just surprise us.

The last outing for Philly was a tough loss to the Heat where they couldn’t even muster enough firepower to cover as +2 underdogs. But what really stands out is their recent trend — six of their last seven games have gone UNDER the total points. I mean, when you’re averaging just about 104 points per game and shooting less than 43% from the field, it’s no wonder why! They seem to be struggling to find rhythm offensively with only around 21 assists per game.

On the flip side, we’ve got Memphis sitting at an above-average 8-7 record with some decent offensive stats — they score nearly 120 points per game at a solid shooting percentage of around 48%. Their offense has been prolific lately; however, they faced a tough loss against Denver in their latest appearance where they fell short and failed to cover as favorites too.

Now here’s where I see value: Memphis’ defensive performance has had its ups and downs this year. They give up plenty of rebounds (averaging nearly 48), which could open opportunities for Philly if they can capitalize on second-chance points or force turnovers — currently at about 14 per game for both teams. And while Memphis boasts good offensive numbers overall, they’ve shown vulnerability in clutch moments.

So what can we expect? I’m predicting that tonight’s matchup will go against the grain; I foresee Philadelphia pulling off an upset victory over Memphis while also covering that slim spread! It feels like one of those nights where everything clicks for them after all these losses.

As for total points? Given Philly’s struggles on offense juxtaposed with having gone UNDER in so many recent matchups combined with Memphis’ inconsistency lately — I’d lean towards another UNDER result tonight too.

In summary: expect an unexpected win from Philadelphia tonight along with them covering that spread; also anticipate yet another low-scoring affair as both teams battle it out hard defensively. Keep your betting cards close to your chest folks; let’s see if my hunch pays off!