MLB
Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers - September 16, 2024
September 16, 2024, 8:45am EDT
TSG A.I. Picks
7:40pm EDT, Monday | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|
Milwaukee Brewers | +1.5 -185 | -110 | O 8 -125 |
Philadelphia Phillies | -1.5 +150 | +100 | U 8 +105 |
Confidence Score For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how "confident" we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners. |
7:40pm EDT, Monday
Spread
For every pick our AI engine makes, it also assigns a score from 1-100 reflecting how "confident" we are each pick is likely to hit. The higher the score, the more confidence our AI models are that our picks are going to be winners.
Milwaukee Brewers
+1.5
-185
Philadelphia Phillies
-1.5
+150
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers
-110
Philadelphia Phillies
+100
Over/Under
Over 8
-125
Under 8
+105
Odds Provided By BetUS
SPREAD PICK
Milwaukee Brewers
+1.5
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
MONEYLINE PICK
Milwaukee Brewers
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
OVER/UNDER PICK
Under
8
Bet Amount
Potential Payout
Potential Payout
Values are based on the payout of the Best Value odds plus initial bet amount.
As a former sports statistician, I find myself immersed in the numbers as we approach tonight’s matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies at American Family Field. The Brewers enter this game riding a three-game winning streak, while the Phillies have also been performing well recently. However, when we delve into the stats, it becomes clear which team has an edge.
On the mound for Philadelphia is Ranger Suárez, boasting a solid 12-6 record with an ERA of 3.9. His strikeout rate sits at about 8.8 per nine innings—indicative of his ability to miss bats and keep hitters off balance. Meanwhile, Aaron Civale takes the hill for Milwaukee with a less impressive record of 6-8 and an ERA hovering around 3.7. While Civale’s strikeout rate is respectable at approximately 8.3 per nine innings, he has struggled more consistently than Suárez this season.
When we look at run production, both teams are fairly close statistically; however, Milwaukee averages about 4.8 runs per game compared to Philadelphia’s slightly higher output of nearly 4.9 runs per game. The Brewers also have a batting average of .241 against Philadelphia’s .253—again showing marginal superiority for the Phillies in terms of offensive efficiency.
The key factors here will be how each pitcher performs under pressure and whether their respective offenses can capitalize on any mistakes made by opposing pitchers. Given that both teams have shown they can score runs in bunches—as evidenced by Milwaukee’s recent victory over Arizona where they put up an astounding 15 runs—I suspect we may see some fireworks early on.
That said, I predict that tonight’s contest will favor the Brewers due to their current momentum and home-field advantage coupled with Suárez facing a lineup that has been able to generate hits effectively despite their lower batting average overall.
Considering all these elements combined—the pitching matchups, offensive outputs, and recent performances—I lean towards predicting that Milwaukee will emerge victorious tonight against Philadelphia.
In terms of total runs scored (Over/Under), I anticipate it being under given both pitchers’ capabilities to limit damage despite their records suggesting otherwise. With Civale having better outings lately despite his mixed results earlier in the season—and Suárez being known for his ability to control games—I’m inclined to think this one might not reach double digits in scoring.
In summary: expect a competitive game but ultimately favoring Milwaukee as they look to extend their winning streak against a solid but slightly outmatched Phillies squad tonight!
Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Live Odds & Betting History
Betting odds provided by BetUS
Wager Type | Milwaukee Brewers | Philadelphia Phillies |
---|---|---|
Spread | +1.5 (-185) | -1.5 (+150) |
Moneyline | -110 | +100 |
Total | Under 8 (+105) | Over 8 (-125) |
Team Data | Milwaukee Brewers | Philadelphia Phillies |
---|---|---|
Runs | 4.77 | 4.88 |
Hits | 8.40 | 8.83 |
Runs Batted In | 4.54 | 4.66 |
Batting Average | 0.241 | 0.253 |
On-Base Slugging | 71.28% | 73.62% |
Walks | 3.74 | 3.25 |
Strikeouts | 8.33 | 8.83 |
Earned Run Average | 3.66 | 3.86 |