Phoenix Suns @ Atlanta Hawks - January 14, 2025

Alright, folks! Buckle up because we’ve got a thrilling matchup on our hands tonight as the Phoenix Suns take on the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. The Suns are riding high with a three-game winning streak, and you know I’ll be rocking my lucky jersey for this one!

Now, let’s break it down. The oddsmakers have opened the Hawks as slight favorites at -1, but honestly, I’m feeling pretty confident about the Suns covering that spread. They’ve shown resilience lately, pulling off a solid win against the Hornets in their last outing. Sure, they pushed as a -7 favorite, but they’re finding their rhythm and have been playing some gritty basketball.

The Hawks come into this game with an identical record of 19-19 SU, but let’s not ignore their recent struggles. They’ve dropped five straight against the spread and are just 1-4 SU in their last five games. That’s not exactly inspiring confidence if you ask me! Plus, they’ve been shaky at home with a 7-14 ATS record over their last 21 games there.

When we look at offensive stats per game, Atlanta is putting up around 117 points on nearly 47% shooting from the field. Not too shabby! But here’s where it gets interesting: while they can score well enough, they also cough up an average of over 16 turnovers per game—yikes! That could be crucial against a Suns team that thrives on capitalizing on mistakes.

On the flip side, Phoenix averages about 112 points per game with a slightly better shooting percentage than Atlanta at just over 47%. Their three-point shooting is also impressive at nearly 38%, which could play a significant role tonight if they get hot from beyond the arc.

Defensively speaking, both teams have their weaknesses. The Hawks grab more rebounds (about 45) compared to Phoenix’s roughly 42 but commit more fouls and turn the ball over more often. The Suns’ defense has been decent too; however, they need to tighten up those turnovers to keep pace with Atlanta’s scoring potential.

Now let’s talk totals—this one opened at 237 points. Given how both teams have performed recently and considering that Phoenix has gone UNDER in ten of its last eleven games, I’m leaning towards this one being under as well. With both defenses looking to step up and limit scoring opportunities while trying to control tempo, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see something closer to the mid-220s by night’s end.

So here’s my prediction: I think the Hawks will edge out a win tonight—but don’t sleep on Phoenix covering that spread! And expect this one to stay under as both teams battle it out defensively while trying to find their offensive groove.

Let’s go Suns! Time to keep that winning streak alive!