Phoenix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies - February 25, 2025

Alright, folks! It’s game day, and I can feel the excitement buzzing through the city like a live wire. Tonight, we’ve got a showdown between the Phoenix Suns and our beloved Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum. You know I’ll be rocking my lucky jersey because when it comes to game days, superstitions are real!

Now, let’s break this down. The Grizzlies come into this matchup with a solid record of 37-20 and have been pretty reliable against the spread with a 35-21-1 ATS mark. However, they’ve hit a bit of a rough patch lately, going just 2-4 in their last six games. But don’t let that fool you; they’re still averaging an impressive 122.8 points per game on nearly 48.4% shooting from the field! Their three-point shooting is decent too at about 37%, which means they can stretch defenses and create open looks.

On the other hand, we have the Suns struggling at 27-30 overall and an abysmal 19-37-1 against the spread. They’ve lost five out of their last six games straight up—yikes! But here’s where it gets interesting: despite their struggles, they still manage to score around 113.3 points per game with a respectable shooting percentage of about 47.5%. They also have some sharpshooters who can knock down threes at nearly 37.5%.

Defensively, Memphis has been solid but not impenetrable; they grab almost 48 rebounds per game but do commit over 21 fouls on average—definitely something to keep an eye on tonight as foul trouble could swing momentum quickly.

The Suns’ defense isn’t exactly stellar either; they allow around 42.5 rebounds per game while forcing only about seven steals—a stat that shows how much pressure they’re able to apply defensively.

So what can we expect? I’m predicting that our Grizzlies will take home the win tonight—after all, we’re playing in front of our home crowd! However, I think Phoenix will cover that -7.5 point spread because they’ll put up enough fight to keep it close.

And let’s talk totals for a second—the Over/Under is set at a hefty 245.5 points tonight, and given both teams’ offensive capabilities (and defensive lapses), I’m feeling confident that this one will go OVER as well.

In summary: Grizzlies win by a narrow margin; Suns cover the spread; and we see plenty of scoring action leading us OVER that total line! So grab your snacks and settle in because this is going to be one thrilling ride! Go Grizz!