Pittsburgh Penguins @ Florida Panthers - March 23, 2025

Ah, the NHL season rolls on, and we find ourselves at Amerant Bank Arena for an intriguing matchup between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Florida Panthers. Now, let me tell you, there’s something electric about game day—especially when two teams with such contrasting fortunes face off.

The oddsmakers have opened with the Panthers as -192 favorites, and honestly, I can see why. Florida boasts a solid offensive output of 3.2 goals per game with a shooting percentage that hovers around 10.3%. Their ability to generate shots (over 31 per game) shows they know how to create opportunities. Plus, their power play is no slouch either; converting at just over 24% means they can capitalize when given the chance.

However, here’s where it gets interesting: while Florida has had its share of successes this season with a record of 42-25-3, they’ve hit a rough patch lately. They’ve dropped five straight against the spread (ATS), and their recent form includes two losses in their last six games. It makes you wonder if they’re feeling the pressure or if something’s amiss in their strategy.

On the flip side, we have Pittsburgh—a team that seems to be finding its groove lately. With a record of 29-32-10 SU and winning five out of their last six games ATS, they’re riding some momentum after a convincing win against Columbus (6-3). Their offense isn’t quite as prolific as Florida’s but still averages around 2.9 goals per game while boasting a slightly better shooting percentage than Florida at just under 10.8%. Their power play sits close to Florida’s at about 23.8%, which could make for some fireworks if they get those chances.

Defensively though? That’s where both teams show vulnerabilities. The Penguins are saving only about 88% of shots faced compared to Florida’s respectable near-90%. With both teams having penalty kill percentages below 82%, expect some special teams action tonight.

Now onto my prediction: I believe that while Florida will likely emerge victorious in terms of overall performance and take home the win on their home ice, Pittsburgh will cover that spread based on their recent form and tenacity—they’re not going down without a fight! As for total points? I’m leaning towards an UNDER outcome tonight; both teams may find themselves more cautious given recent performances.

In short: I’m calling it—Florida wins but Pittsburgh covers! And keep your fingers crossed for that under bet; sometimes it feels like Lady Luck has her own agenda! So grab your lucky charm or whatever ritual you swear by—because we’re in for what should be an exciting night of hockey!