Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos - October 6, 2024

As I gear up for Sunday’s clash between the Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders, I’m eager for what’s set to be an electrifying showdown at Empower Field at Mile High. These two storied franchises are set to reignite their rivalry, and I can’t help but feel the tension building in the atmosphere—there’s simply nothing like game day in the NFL.

Denver comes into this matchup with a record of 2-2 and has been solid against the spread, going 3-1 so far. The Broncos have been struggling to light up the scoreboard lately, averaging just 15.5 points per game. They’ve been somewhat reliant on their rushing attack, gaining approximately 106 yards on the ground at about 4.7 yards per carry. However, their passing game shows room for improvement, producing only about 165 yards through the air on a 59.1% completion percentage. While their last outing resulted in a squeaker over the Jets with a 10-9 victory, they still managed to cover as a 9-point underdog.

Meanwhile, the Raiders have also posted a 2-2 record and are entering this game riding a wave of confidence after their narrow win against the Browns, edging them out 20-16. With the Raiders averaging 19.5 points per game, their offense has shown a bit more dynamism, currently putting up 239.8 yards nearly in the air with an impressive completion percentage of 70.1%. However, their rushing attack has been somewhat stagnant, only garnering around 76.2 yards per game.

With the oddsmakers opening the Broncos as 1.5-point favorites, I believe the home-field advantage will play a crucial role in this matchup. The Broncos have been strong at home, boasting a 5-2 record in their last seven games at Mile High. Given the competitive nature of both teams, it’s likely that the Broncos’ defense will smother the Raiders’ offense enough to limit their scoring opportunities.

In considering the trends, it’s notable that Las Vegas is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games and has fared well on the road with a 4-1 ATS record in their last five. However, Denver’s recent defensive performances have been commendable, especially given that the total has gone UNDER in 11 of their last 16 games.

I really anticipate a lower-scoring affair in this matchup. The opened total of 42 seems generous given both teams’ performance, especially with Denver’s struggles to consistently put up points. Based on recent trends and their current offensive woes, I’m predicting this game will stay UNDER the total—a reflection of both team’s defense rather than their offensive capabilities.

In essence, I’m predicting that the Denver Broncos will prevail in this matchup, covering the spread while keeping the game under the total. The atmosphere at Empower Field is going to be electric, and I expect the Broncos’ home-field advantage will ultimately give them the edge they need against their division rivals. Let’s get ready for what promises to be a thrilling encounter!