Sacramento Kings @ Boston Celtics - January 10, 2025

As I gear up for the showdown between the Sacramento Kings and the Boston Celtics at TD Garden, I’ve got that familiar itch — you know, the one that tells you something’s brewing. The oddsmakers have set the Celtics as -10 favorites, and honestly, with their recent form, it feels just about right.

Let’s break this down. The Celtics come into this game riding high after a solid 118-106 victory against the Nuggets. They’ve covered a spread of -10.5 in that game and are flaunting a record of 27-10 straight-up (SU) and 16-21 against the spread (ATS). Now, they’ve been playing smothering defense lately, allowing only an average of 224 points combined in their last games while going under in four out of five matchups. With an offensive output averaging 118.5 points per game on solid shooting — hitting nearly 46% from the field — it’s hard not to think they’ll keep rolling against a Kings team that’s been feisty but inconsistent.

On the flip side, we have the Kings who are coming off a thrilling 123-118 win over Miami, marking their fifth consecutive victory. They’re currently sitting at an 18-19 record SU but have managed to cover four out of five spreads recently. With Sacramento’s offense churning out about 116 points per game on nearly 47.6% shooting, they’re no slouches either; however, their defensive lapses could prove costly tonight.

Now let’s talk numbers: Boston grabs around 44.9 rebounds per game while forcing almost eight steals but struggles with turnovers — losing nearly twelve each night. Sacramento isn’t too far behind on rebounds (44.1) but has bigger issues with fouls committed (over twenty per game) which could give Boston ample opportunities at the line where they shoot nearly 79%.

Here’s where my betting instincts kick in: I’m predicting that Boston will take this one home with authority — they’ll cover that spread comfortably as well. The Kings may be riding high on confidence after their recent wins, but when faced with a top-tier team like Boston at TD Garden? That’s a different beast altogether.

And as for that total? With both teams capable of scoring and having shown some leaky defense lately — particularly Sacramento’s foul trouble leading to free throws — I believe we’re looking at a score that might just push us over that opening total of 227 points.

So here’s my final call: Celtics win by more than ten and we see plenty of fireworks on offense leading us to hit that Over mark tonight! Just remember to stick to your betting rituals; I’ll be wearing my lucky socks while placing my bets! Here’s hoping for another legendary win!