San Francisco Giants @ New York Yankees - April 13, 2025

As I prepare for the matchup between the San Francisco Giants and New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium, I can’t help but dive into the numbers that shape our expectations for this game. With Logan Webb on the mound for the Giants and Carlos Rodón taking his turn for the Yankees, we have an intriguing duel of pitchers that could influence how this game unfolds.

Logan Webb has been impressive early in the season, boasting a 1-0 record with a solid 1.9 ERA. His ability to limit runs is evident from his strikeout rate of nearly 9 strikeouts per nine innings. In contrast, Rodón’s performance has been less stellar with a 5.2 ERA and a win-loss record of 1-2. While he does have an impressive strikeout rate of over 10 strikeouts per nine innings, it’s clear that he has struggled to keep runs off the board consistently.

Offensively, we see stark differences between these two teams. The Yankees are averaging about 6.8 runs per game with a batting average hovering around .262—this is significantly higher than what we’ve seen from the Giants who are only managing approximately 4.8 runs per game and hitting .220 as a team. The Yankees also excel in getting on base with an OBP of about 83% compared to San Francisco’s subpar rate of around 67%. This disparity in offensive output suggests that if Rodón falters early on, it could lead to significant trouble for New York.

Looking back at their recent encounters, it’s worth noting that in their last meeting, New York emerged victorious with an 8-4 scoreline against San Francisco—a result that favored OVER bettors given that they combined for a total score of twelve runs. Given both teams’ recent trends—especially with the Giants going OVER in thirteen out of their last nineteen games—the expectation is set high once again for another run-heavy affair.

Considering all these factors: Webb’s strong start versus Rodón’s inconsistencies; coupled with New York’s potent offense against San Francisco’s struggling bats; my prediction leans toward a victory for the Yankees today while expecting another high-scoring contest where we’ll likely see totals exceed seven and a half runs once more.

In summary, while both teams will be eager to claim this win, expect New York to capitalize on home-field advantage alongside their superior offensive capabilities—leading them to victory over San Francisco today while pushing us towards yet another OVER outcome in terms of total runs scored.