Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners - April 11, 2025

As I prepare for the matchup between the Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park, I can’t help but dive into the numbers that might just tell us what to expect from this game. With Jacob deGrom on the mound for Texas and Bryce Miller for Seattle, we have an intriguing battle of pitching styles and team performances.

Starting with deGrom, he comes in with a 0-0 record and a 3.74 ERA. While his strikeout rate sits at a solid 8.5 per nine innings, it’s crucial to note that he hasn’t yet secured a win this season. The Rangers are currently boasting a record of 9-4, which is impressive by any standard. They’ve been performing well against the spread too, going 5-2 ATS in their last seven games and winning six out of their last eight contests. However, they’ve also had some high-scoring affairs recently; four of their last five games have gone OVER the total.

On the other side of the diamond is Miller, who has struggled early on with an 0-2 record and an elevated ERA of 4.16. His strikeout rate is promising at 9.25 per nine innings but doesn’t seem to translate into wins just yet for Seattle, which holds a disappointing record of 5-8 this season. The Mariners have faced challenges both offensively and defensively; they are averaging only 3.6 runs per game while hitting .199 as a team—a statistic that raises eyebrows when considering their overall potential.

The odds currently favor Texas slightly at -122 moneyline favorites against Seattle’s +102 underdogs—an indication that oddsmakers expect a closely contested game despite recent performances suggesting otherwise.

When looking deeper into batting stats, both teams are struggling to find consistent offensive production: The Rangers average just over three runs per game (3.25) with similar RBIs (3.25), while Seattle has marginally better averages in runs (3.625) and RBIs (3.25). Both teams’ batting averages hover around .195-.199 range—indicative of significant struggles at the plate.

What makes this matchup particularly interesting is how each team’s recent performances could influence outcomes tonight; while Texas has shown resilience in securing victories even as underdogs recently (including a notable win against Chicago), Seattle managed to pull off an unexpected victory against Houston as +120 underdogs themselves.

Given these dynamics—deGrom’s ability to limit damage versus Miller’s inconsistency—I predict that we will see more scoring than expected tonight based on each team’s recent totals trending towards OVERs in previous matchups.

In conclusion, my prediction leans toward Seattle pulling off an upset over Texas tonight while also expecting the total score to exceed initial expectations due to both offenses finding ways to capitalize on pitching weaknesses throughout the game.