Toronto Raptors @ San Antonio Spurs - April 13, 2025

Alright, folks, gather ‘round because we’ve got a juicy matchup on our hands this Sunday at the Frost Bank Center. The Toronto Raptors roll into San Antonio to take on the Spurs, and I’m telling you, it’s shaping up to be quite the showdown. With oddsmakers favoring the Spurs by 5 points and an over/under set at 228.5, there’s plenty of action to dissect.

Let’s start with what happened last time out for both teams. San Antonio took a bruising against the Suns in their last game, losing 117-98 while failing to cover as +5.5 underdogs. That’s a tough pill to swallow for any bettor, especially when combined with their recent record of 2-9 SU in their last 11 games. But don’t count them out just yet; they’ve shown glimpses of life recently by covering the spread in four of their last six games.

Now let’s talk about Toronto—another team searching for answers after getting walloped by the Mavericks, finishing with a scoreline of 124-102. They couldn’t muster up enough firepower as +11 underdogs and have ended up losing four out of their last six games straight up (SU). However, they’ve been decent against the spread (ATS), going 14-7 ATS over their last 21 games.

Looking at offensive stats paints an interesting picture: The Spurs are scoring around 114 points per game with a shooting percentage just shy of 47%. They’re also dishing out nearly 29 assists per game—pretty solid numbers that should give them confidence heading into this clash. In contrast, Toronto isn’t far behind with close to 111 points per game but lags slightly in field goal percentage and assists.

Now let’s not forget about defense; here is where things get tricky. The Raptors grab more rebounds than San Antonio but also commit more fouls—21 fouls compared to the Spurs’ roughly 17 fouls per game can lead to some easy free throws for San Antonio if they play smart.

So what can we expect from this clash? I predict that San Antonio will come out firing after that embarrassing loss against Phoenix and will manage to cover the spread this time around. My gut tells me they’ll win by at least a touchdown margin given Toronto’s recent struggles on both ends of the court.

As for total points? I’m leaning towards “over” on that total line of 228.5 since both teams have shown they can light it up despite their defensive lapses. With San Antonio’s offense trending upwards and Toronto having nothing left to lose, expect an uptempo affair.

So keep your betting rituals alive tonight; maybe wear those lucky socks or have your favorite drink handy while placing your bets! Remember: If the underdog wins outright, they automatically cover—but my money is firmly planted on San Antonio taking this one home!