Utah Hockey Club @ Edmonton Oilers - March 18, 2025

As the puck drops at Rogers Place on Tuesday night, fans are in for an exciting matchup between the Edmonton Oilers and the Utah Hockey Club. Both teams come into this game riding recent victories, which should make for a spirited contest.

Edmonton’s last outing was a solid 3-1 win over the Rangers, showcasing their ability to dominate on both ends of the ice. With an impressive offensive stat line averaging 3.2 goals per game and firing off about 32 shots, they certainly know how to create opportunities. Their power play is potent as well, boasting a conversion rate of 26%, indicating that when given chances with the extra man, they can capitalize effectively.

On the flip side, Utah arrives fresh off a victory against the Canucks. They’ve shown some resilience in recent games but remain inconsistent overall with a record of 30-26-11 SU. They average just under 2.8 goals per game and generate around 28 shots; it’s clear they’re not generating as much offense compared to their opponents tonight.

Now let’s look at defense. Edmonton has managed to maintain an impressive save percentage of around 89.4%. While they’ve had their struggles on penalty kills at just over 76%, it appears they’ve found ways to mitigate damage when down a man by playing smart positional hockey. Meanwhile, Utah holds slightly better defensive numbers: an equally commendable save percentage of about 89.5% and a stronger penalty kill at over 80%. This could be pivotal in keeping them competitive against a high-octane Oilers offense.

When you analyze past matchups, there’s something interesting to note—Utah has historically performed well against Edmonton by covering spreads consistently despite being labeled underdogs (5-2 ATS in last seven meetings). This lends credibility to my prediction that while I foresee Edmonton taking home the win tonight due to their offensive firepower and home advantage, I also expect Utah will manage to cover the spread based on their recent form and tenacity.

Looking specifically at betting trends reveals another compelling angle: both teams have been trending towards unders lately—the total points have gone under in five of Edmonton’s last six games combined with similar performance from Utah—and given that we’re seeing an opening total set at six, I would lean towards another low-scoring affair.

So my final thoughts? Expect Edmonton’s prowess on home ice and offensive capabilities to shine through for a victory—but don’t underestimate Utah’s resolve; they’ll find ways not only to stay competitive but also likely cover that spread amidst what might turn out to be yet another tight scoring contest leaning toward the UNDER side of things.