Washington Wizards @ Milwaukee Bucks - December 21, 2024

As the Milwaukee Bucks prepare to host the Washington Wizards at Fiserv Forum, we can expect a matchup that reflects both teams’ current trajectories. The Bucks come into this game with a record of 15-12 and have shown some offensive prowess, averaging approximately 112.7 points per game on an efficient shooting percentage of 48.3%. Their three-point shooting is also respectable at 39.2%, which could be crucial in stretching the floor against a Wizards team that has struggled defensively.

On the other side, the Wizards are reeling with a dismal record of 4-21, but they did manage to secure a win in their last outing against Charlotte, scoring 123 points. However, their overall numbers tell a different story; they average just 107.1 points per game and shoot only 44.1% from the field. Their three-point shooting is particularly concerning at just under 31%, making them one of the least effective perimeter shooting teams in the league.

Defensively, both teams have had their challenges this season. The Bucks allow about 112 points per game while grabbing around 43 rebounds and forcing approximately seven steals per game. They do struggle with turnovers themselves—averaging over 14 per game—which could provide opportunities for Washington if they can capitalize on those mistakes.

Conversely, Washington’s defense has been even more porous despite collecting slightly more rebounds (around 43.3) than Milwaukee and generating about eight steals per game. However, they also commit over 22 fouls each contest, which could lead to free throw opportunities for Milwaukee’s shooters who convert at roughly 71.7% from the line.

Given these statistics and trends leading up to Saturday’s contest, I predict that Milwaukee will not only win but cover the spread as well—currently set at -11 points in favor of the Bucks. Despite their recent struggles against Cleveland where they lost by a significant margin (124-101), I expect them to bounce back strongly at home where they’ve won nine out of their last ten games.

As for total points scored in this matchup? The Over/Under opened at 227.5 but considering both teams’ tendencies—especially Washington’s low scoring average combined with their defensive lapses—I foresee this being an underwhelming offensive display overall leading to total points falling below that threshold.

In summary: I predict Milwaukee secures a convincing victory over Washington while covering the spread comfortably—and anticipate that total points will remain under expectations based on both teams’ performances thus far this season.