Winnipeg Jets @ Carolina Hurricanes - March 9, 2025

As the Winnipeg Jets prepare to face off against the Carolina Hurricanes at Lenovo Center on Sunday, there’s plenty of data to sift through that can help us predict the outcome. The oddsmakers have made Carolina a -147 moneyline favorite, but let’s dig deeper into the numbers and see what they reveal about this matchup.

The Jets come into this game with a record of 30-12-3, showcasing their strong offensive capabilities. They average 3.5 goals per game (rounded from 3.476), which is higher than Carolina’s 3.2 goals per game (rounded from 3.175). Winnipeg also boasts a more effective shooting percentage at 12.1%, compared to Carolina’s 10%. This suggests that when it comes to capitalizing on scoring opportunities, the Jets have an edge.

On special teams, Winnipeg shines even brighter with a power play percentage of 32.2%, significantly outpacing Carolina’s rate of just under 19%. With nearly one power play goal per game (0.873), they are adept at converting those crucial man-advantage situations into points—a factor that could be pivotal in this contest.

Defensively, both teams show solid metrics; however, Winnipeg edges out with a save percentage of 91.7% compared to Carolina’s 89.2%. While both teams struggle somewhat on the penalty kill—with Winnipeg sitting at 79.5% and Carolina slightly better at 83.9%—the overall defensive performance leans in favor of the Jets.

Recent form also plays an essential role in making predictions for this matchup: Winnipeg has won three out of their last four games and boasts an impressive record of winning thirteen out of their last sixteen outings overall (13-3 SU). Conversely, while Carolina has been successful recently as well (4-1 SU in their last five), they’ve struggled against the spread with only one cover in their last seven attempts.

Given these statistics and trends, I predict that the Winnipeg Jets will not only win but also cover the spread as underdogs—especially since if they pull off an upset victory as anticipated, they’ll certainly cover it by default.

As for total goals scored in this match-up? Both teams have shown tendencies toward lower-scoring affairs lately; specifically, six out of Winnipeg’s last seven games have gone UNDER while five out of Carolina’s last six games have followed suit as well. Thus, I expect this game will finish below the set total line of 5.5 goals.

In summary: Expect a hard-fought battle where statistical advantages lean towards the Jets winning outright while covering the spread—and keep your eyes peeled for another low-scoring affair!