MLB Run Line Betting How to Bet the Run Line in Baseball
Betting on the run line in baseball is another great wager to add to your baseball betting slip. We’ve got everything you need to know about betting on the run line and how you can incorporate it into a successful betting strategy.
Keep reading to see how the run line is different from betting on the moneyline, get our tips on how to make the most of live betting on baseball, and see our recommended MLB sportsbook for beginners.
What Is Run Line Betting in Baseball?
The run line when betting on baseball is where the favored team to win is given a 1.5-run handicap. This adjusts the odds on each team.
Example: The Atlanta Braves are heavily favored (-130 odds) to beat the New York Mets at home. On the moneyline, a $120 bet on the Braves would only win you $100. The run line for this game could be listed as: New York +1.5 (-205) vs. Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+170)
A run line bet on the Braves at -1.5 will only cash if Atlanta wins by two runs or more. A wager on the Mets at +1.5 will win if New York wins the game outright or loses by exactly one run.
Notice how the Braves’ odds on the run line (+170) are much higher than the moneyline (-130) — that’s because you’re taking on more risk by requiring them to win by a larger margin.
Standard Run Line
Sportsbooks post a moneyline, a run line, and a total for every MLB game throughout the season. Unlike other sports with different point spreads for each game, the run line in baseball betting is always a standard 1.5-run. Odds for each side will vary based on their perceived chances of winning or by covering the run line.
Expert Tip: Consider betting strong favorites on the run line, rather than the moneyline. Favorites often win by two or more runs, offering potentially higher rewards with seemingly lower risk.
Alternate Run Line
Most of the top MLB betting sites list alternate run lines in the prop section of each MLB game (e.g. -2.5, +3.5) beyond the standard 1.5.
Expert Tip: Use alternate run lines sparingly. The extra runs on the underdog are expensive, and higher payouts on the favorite are enticing, but add a lot more risk to your bet.
Baseball Run Line Live Betting Tips
While most run line baseball betting happens before game time, MLB live betting offers an exciting alternative. As the game unfolds, you can bet on updated run lines and moneyline odds in real time.
Here’s how you can master live run line betting and add a dynamic layer to your handicapping strategy:
1. Know The Rules
A strong grasp of the sport is key to an enjoyable experience.
Example: When making a live run line baseball bet in the late stages of the game, it’s important to remember that road teams bat in the top half of every inning, and home teams get the last chance at bat. This is crucial in late-game scenarios where run lines and odds can shift dramatically.
We recommend checking your sportsbook’s MLB-specific live betting rules to understand important nuances. Rules around at-bat props grades if a player gets injured, or how in-game props are graded if a game is postponed due to rain can impact your bets.
2. Understand the Odds
Live betting requires many quick decisions as betting odds are constantly being updated as the game unfolds. Before the game starts, we recommend familiarizing yourself with how to read and interpret odds. This knowledge will translate directly to live betting, allowing you to quickly assess the potential payout for different wagers.
3. Check the Injury Report
Before placing any live bets, check the starting lineups for both teams to see if any key players are out with an injury. If an injury occurs during the game, check reputable sources to determine the severity of the injury and the likelihood of their return.
Reliable sports news websites and apps can help you make informed decisions about any live bets that might be impacted.
4. Shop For the Best Lines
MLB run line betting odds vary among online sportsbooks, and that’s especially true for live betting. Consider signing up for accounts at a few reputable sportsbooks. By comparing the odds, you will be able to identify the sportsbook offering the most favorable odds for your desired live bet.
5. Watch the Game
Watching the game provides you with added insight that you might miss by simply viewing stats. Watching gives you the opportunity to observe player performance, momentum shifts, and even weather conditions, all of which can influence the game’s trajectory.
6. Don’t Over Hedge
Some live bettors hedge bet by placing a wager on the opposite side of their original bet to lock in a small profit, or offset a potential loss. This practice cuts into long-term potential profits as bettors will always be paying chalk on the losing side of the hedge bet, which will offset the benefits in the long run.
We recommend saving hedging for extreme situations that will give you a potential edge, such as an opportunity where some outcomes will allow both of your bets to be graded winners.
Expert MLB Run Line Betting Picks
See All MLB PicksBenefit from a winning edge in baseball run line betting. Our mix of expert and AI-generated MLB picks and predictions include home/away records, points per game, defensive aspects, and many more stats to inform your decisions.
Best Baseball Run Line Betting Site for Beginners
If you’re new to baseball run line betting, we have a great betting site for you to start your wagering. Our experts have reviewed the top MLB sportsbooks and our top recommendation for run line betting for beginners is BetUS.
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Great Choice For Run Line Betting – BetUS
BetUS is a great choice thanks to its extensive free resources for MLB bettors. Their BetUS Locker Room features insightful articles and MLB news, and BetUS TV’s daily show offers expert picks and predictions throughout the season. This information is complemented by BetUS’ wide range of MLB betting options, including run lines, alternate lines, odds boosts, and more.
You can easily place run line bets by navigating to the ‘Baseball’ tab in the ‘Sportsbook’ section and clicking on ‘Game’ odds. This will display run line odds for every game. Then, you can click on the run line you want to bet on and your bet slip will automatically open.
For baseball fans making their first deposit, BetUS offers a generous 125% match welcome bonus up to $2,625. Cryptocurrency users can enjoy an even sweeter deal with a 200% match bonus up to $2,750 on their first deposit.
Is Run Line Betting Different From Moneyline Betting?
Moneyline betting is betting on which team will win the game outright. Baseball run line betting adds a 1.5-run handicap to the mix. Here are answers to some frequently asked questions about the differences between moneyline and run line baseball betting:
Is There a Difference Between Run Line and Moneyline Betting?
Yes. A handicap is added to run line betting. The favorite needs to win by more than 1.5 runs and the underdog needs to win outright or lose by 1 run. The moneyline bets focuses on the winner, and the run line bet considers the margin of victory.
Are the Odds Different?
Yes. The favorite has longer odds on the run line (-1.5) because winning by 2+ runs is less likely than winning outright. While the underdog has better odds (+1.5) because covering the run line (winning outright or losing by 1) is more likely than winning outright on the moneyline.
Are the Payouts Different?
Yes. The unique payouts for both the run line and the moneyline are always displayed on each game at your online sportsbook. Moneylines are listed without a spread (for example, Boston +225 vs. Tampa Bay -285) while run lines include the 1.5-run spread (for instance, Boston +1.5 +120, Tampa Bay -1.5 -150).
Can You Create Parlays From Both Types?
Yes, but with an important exception. You can have parlay run lines and moneylines from different games, but you cannot parlay a moneyline and run line from the same MLB game. That is considered an illegal correlated parlay.
Responsible Gambling
We encourage you to gamble responsibly and consider online betting as a form of entertainment, not a source of income. Set loss limits and time limits, and don’t bet more than you’re comfortable losing.
Here are some resources to help you, or someone you care about, gamble responsibly and get help:
Baseball Run Line Betting Key Takeaways
Run line betting is a popular wagering option in baseball that adds a layer of betting interest compared to simply picking the winner (moneyline bet) — and it’s a lot of fun to bet on, especially with live MLB betting.
After reviewing our expert run line betting tips and live betting strategies, we recommended wagering at BetUS. Their sportsbook offers a generous welcome bonus and a great selection of MLB odds and lines. Check back with The Sports Geek all season long for expert analysis, daily picks, and all of the latest MLB betting news and updates. Good luck! We’re rooting for you!
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